Thursday, May 24, 2018

Hurricane season starts early


Neato, the Atlantic belt has been providing all the heat for us and the UK.  This can't go on forever, as it is fighting the very cold air from the Arctic.  Apparently, the polar bears are having a population boom.

Now, this is a big push of hot, moist air.  Such air has more than 10 times the energy of dry air.  When it meets the cold air, then there are fireworks.  This has everything to do with the fact that global temperatures are going down the ski jumping ramp.

We can assume that this will be another 'record', just like the hurricanes last fall.  But this will suck all the heat energy out of the Gulf area, and give us cold weather.  Hope you have your greenhouse up, and hope that the winds aren't too high.  This time, if there is a wind storm warning, I'm putting the greenhouse in 'storm mode'.  :)

ps.  LIghtfoot Moment -- "The hurricanes of September come early..."  My daughter is down in Cuba dancing salsa.  Hope they can leave.  It seems to be missing the island.

pps.  Wow, look at it starting to spin.  Maybe a hurricane soon.

New organic garden spray

Put 2 gallons of water into the garden sprayer.

100 ml of epson salts (big jar from Costco)

50 ml of miraclegrow

100 ml of organic chemical Home Defence spray

30 ml Neem oil

30 ml Tea oil (from Costco)

one squeeze of dish soap.

The organic chemical (synthetic pyrethins) does most of the work.   Do not spray flowers.  The epson salts gives the little slugs the flu.  Neem and Tea oils slow down the fungus.  Soap mixes it all.

Spray often.  This is weak stuff, but it delays the worms in the apples so you can eat them  You just can't store them very long.

Absolutely nothing gets out if you are careful when you spray.  Failure to spray is a disaster, you might as well pave everything over.  :)

Tuesday, May 22, 2018

A fine, warm summer


“If this is going to be a warmer-than-normal summer, most of the warm air has to come from the south, from the United States.”

All our warmth could come from the Atlantic belt, but the global temp will still go down.  I predict, however, lots of cold nights, when the 'real' air hits us.

Linux - Ryzen5 endless story

My machine finally hung so that I could not restart it in any way.  Luckily I still had my install usb, so I reinstalled.  I am now on 4.17.0 rc6, and I hope for the best.  :)

Blah, it did hang up on a heavy graphics load....

ps.  rc6 seems stable.  no framebuffer still.

rc6 not that stable.

Monday, May 21, 2018

Blackfly Report

My old reports are always dug up this time of year.  If you check the dates, then you know this one is NOW! 

Blackflies are at their horrible peak near Apsley.  Long weekend traffic was light because everybody was driven out of cottage country.  The good news is that the dragonflies are coming out.  They went from one on Saturday to clouds by Monday.  Another day and every blackfly will be eaten on our side of the lake (the sunny side).  The other side, who cares? 

Thursday, May 17, 2018

The curse of being enmeshed in long odds

I'm just going to expand on my curse, which has some funny stories, and has made me into the obnoxious POOCH you see today.

My main curse was getting into infrastructure and physics.  That was traditionally very long odds of failures because the consequences were so huge.  Now, it has just folded into the FB norm of short odds (if it doesn't happen today, it will never happen). 

Long odds were ingrained into the nuclear industry.  During my fun times when I actually worked at the old company (10 years, then 20 years of snoozing), all of us design engineers were passionate about long odds.  We designed things to survive the gorillas of operations (very shot odds).  Then the old company went totally to the gorillas, and we never built anything new.  All those old guys left, but I stayed on to suffer, always fighting a losing battle for long odds.  For a while, the regulator was with me, but then they went political.

The odds of a big nuclear release are now 1 in 100 per annum, making the odds for an individual plant about 1 in 10,000.  I have stated that odds for Pickering are 1 in 1000 because an earthquake blows away all 'defence in depth' and 'individual systems', just like a sully-type double bird strike.

The worse thing was that the long odds began to strike me more than anybody.  I can't recall how many times somebody on the phone said 'It's never happened before'.  Dammit, it's happened to me!

My biggest story happened at the old company.  I was in charge of the local internet and the Bank of Montreal just started on-line banking with their new brand - MBANX.  This was a hot thing with big advertising.  Somebody came to me that they accidentally got into the account of another of my users.  Holy Crappola!  I went to our top guy who was doing the firewall on this own time.  He found that, since we were presenting one ip address, anybody and their dog could get in to all bank accounts, since they were just hanging onto ip addresses.  MBANX was aloof.

I wrote this up in a security mailing list, and it was picked up by the newspapers.  All of sudden, their top stupid people were contacting my top stupid people, and their solution was to kill me.  In the end, my buddy the vice-president saved me, and openly condemned MBANX.  They folded their tents, forgot the brand, and hired my buddy for an obscene amount of money.  They lost millions.

I have many other such stories, but I won't bore today's generation.  :)

Giving the air conditioning company a nice choice

I have to pay $800 for the privilege of getting my new air conditioner installation to work.  This is an industry cabal thing.

I saw the bill at about $800.  I have never not paid a bill in my life.  I am a big Internet blogger and a top Google reviewer.  When there is an earthquake, I can get 10,000 hits a day.

I have three options for you.

1. I pay the full amount.  Then I go full hog on the Internet, and terminate our customer relationship.  You will never get another customer who uses the internet.  The big industrial guys don't read, so it won't totally destroy you.  I feel bad about destroying companies.

2.  I split the bill.  Then I write a very dry article on the industry cabal.  I mention you and Goodman as references.  Since the industry is not following English Common Law, this could become an election issue, or a consumer crackdown.  Only a small chance of that.

3.  You write it off.  Then I write a gushing piece on you, and you might get a few more customers.

Please let me know.

Harold Asmis

Now, I know that all you readers are salivating for me to go 'whole hog', but these guys only read email once a week.  I have to give them a chance.

I am cursed to write about long odds (earthquakes), and to run into long odds (my Toyota battery).  That has made me somewhat of a crusader.  The problem is that nobody cares about long odds.  :)

Whoops, I mentioned the manufacturer.  I'll cross that out....

Linux - new kernel having problems

I have a new Ryzen5 with the amdgpu, a built-in graphics processor.  In Linux-land, nobody is happy with it.  The new kernel 4.17 is the first one to tackle it.  It still can't give me a main console (framebuffer), but the revisions have been getting better.

Lately, I went to rc5, but it was freezing again every few minutes.  I went back to rc4, which hardly freezes.  Two steps forward, and one step back.  :)  AMD has released all the documentation, and I'm sure things will improve.  I can't wait for rc6!

Tuesday, May 15, 2018

Mr. Trumpy cuts off nasa co2 direct measurements


I blame the whole carbon hypothesis, and ozone chlorine hypothesis on nasa.  They were fully capable of verifying these things with simple experiments, and they chose not to do it.  In fact, somebody went after the chlorine thing, and nasa killed them.  Can't retract a nobel prize, can we?

These are things that become the modern equivalent of religion.  You can't show them to be wrong, and everybody is happy that no experiments are done.  If you talk to the Manchester Guardian fanatics they will yell that doing such experiments is heresy.  We have no 'Poodles of the oil company heresy' (POOCH) with any money.  :(

I'm a pooch and I can only suggest experiments.  Fortunately, trumpypants has done a random thing and cut off the foolish attempt to read co2 directly in order to enforce the Paris Agreement.  If co2 actually did anything, then they could easily read it indirectly.  In fact, even their 'direct' reading was probably indirect.  If they actually got it going, they would make sure to reinforce the religion.

If you could imagine a world where the physical laws did exist that allowed co2 to be a 'greenhouse gas'.  First of all, there would be no life, it would be Venus.  Earth started as a planet with an atmosphere of nitrogen, methane and co2.  It's a very natural thing.  The greenhouse gas would raise temperatures above 'shirtsleeve', and kill the first attempt at carbon-based life.  Perhaps, we would have silicon-based life.

In that world, there would be natural sources of co2 from volcanic vents.  Weather satellites could easily read that by the opaque fog holding in the infrared radiation.  With our physical laws, on our world, we can't see that.  Finally, if co2 was increasing, this imaginary world would force constant recalibration of the relationship between infrared radiation and actually temperatures on the ground.  Our world doesn't do that.

Would nasa follow any of these suggestions?  Nope.

ps.  this would have been a very costly project, since they would have had to avoid the only physical property of co2 that can be detected.  Namely the infrared notch.

Natural gas prices venture into earthquake territory

It's still rising because of our ice age, and has barely hit earthquake levels.  We got a strike-slip series on the main Oklahoma mechanism.  I'm guessing if natgas plunges again, the earthquakes will stop.  But I think it will go up because we are getting no Pacific heat at all, and it all comes in spurts from the Atlantic.  We can't sustain warmth on that.

Meanwhile, the UK is experiencing a heat wave because of a very narrow jet of warm air from the Atlantic.  I wonder how long that lasts.  The Gulf Stream is still cut off by the cold Arctic current.

Monday, May 14, 2018

The physics of the perfect organic lawn

Physics is everywhere and is totally ignored.  This always comes back to bite you, and nothing is worse than a scraggly lawn.  Most people just pave them over, but then all that extra rain goes into the sewer.

What you want to achieve is a nice fluffy organic mat, full of earthworms.  The first thing to get is big honking gas mulcher mower.  You aren't reducing your 'footprint' with an electric or hand-push mower.  That's because the mulcher mower reduces the grass clippings to a fine powder which is driven back into the base of the grass.  It becomes instant worm food, and you want to keep those guys happy.  I am noted in the neighbourhood for my fine, healthy lawn and the mower is a big part of it.

Those with the worst lawns rake their clippings and put them in compost bags to be picked up.  That's forbidden by the compost police, but who looks?  I put on a little fertilizer every few years.

The Physics of Horrible Dog Spots

At some point in your life, you'll will notice a dead zone.  I always blame the dog, just like farts in the room.  She actually gets quite upset if really is her, and and leaves.  If it's late summer and the spots are expanding, then you have to put in a fire break.  I use Roundup in a careful manner to kill a larger zone around the grubs.  They starve when hit the dead zone, and can't expand any more.  Roundup is an organic chemical which breaks down easily.  The soil bacteria love it.  It causes trouble when farmers pour on massive amounts and it gets into the water.  Don't do that!

There's one more organic chemical that is required.  Get a very small bottle of that forbidden chemical.  Dilute it greatly in a spray bottle, and give the weeds a nice spot wash weekly on a sunny day.  That binds to organic matter and breaks down.  Or you can do like my neighbour and get a magnifying glass, on your knees, and pull out anything that looks funny.  If people ask, that's what I do, too.  :)

Anyway, once a dog spot forms it is a positive-feedback loop, or vicious circle.  They don't occur often in Nature, or we'd all be dead.  The soil compresses to rock, or 100% compaction.  The original cause may be long gone, but the spot stays forever.  The worms avoid it and nothing grows.  You get the shovel and lift the spot, and chop it up a bit.  Then you put on seeds and nice worm-ready compost.  Get a big rotating-barrel compost bin from Sunmar.  That is great worm food.

For watering, go once a week with a good soaking down into the mat.  Let the grass go to that nice dormant brown, but don't let it go to straw.  Then you have one giant dog spot.

Oklahoma earthquakes - They're BACK!

Natural gas is on a tear, and OK is back.  I was losing hope, since we had one of the quietest periods ever.  I actually thought the okies stopped being themselves! 

This new m4-5 is a strike-slip along my shear section.  We should see a larger one in that area.  The m7 series will be a big thrust, and then the strike-slip, just like New Madrid.  We can only wait.

Saturday, May 12, 2018

Linksys wrt3200 gets up to 600

That's probably the best I can get.  I can't get openwrt or lede to work on it, since it has some sort of winbond issue.  I can't find any solution.  Drat.

Yeah, success.  Use this pointer to the devel branch.  Openwrt seems to be confusing right now.  I'm getting full speed now on the Ookla speed test.

ps.  using various speed tests, you get full speed in the morning, and reduced speeds in the afternoon.  Blah.

Friday, May 11, 2018

Linux -- getting throughput for Fiber speeds

This is a long story, not yet finished.  I want to use Openwrt for my router.  You can't trust Bell with a router, mainly because everybody is the same.  If you just plug a router port into the local switch of the Bell 3000, it because a straight-thru pppoe bridge.

My first order was returned because, although it had gigabit ports, it had terrible throughput, worse than my  old one.  These routers always have 'version' numbers, and each version has completely different guts.  I am now trying a much more expensive router that has throughput.

Then it's other things.  My proxy, the various levels of software, etc.

Thursday, May 10, 2018

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Index and Summary


A long-winded series on basic physics related to the non-existent global warming.  Sure we had a warming spell, but that's over with now.  Anybody who disagrees can follow the charts.  Those who wish to follow up can insist that Trudeau and Trump pay for some simple experiments -- Ha!

Part 1, Part 2, Part 3, Part 4, Part 5, Part 6

In the series the world is divided into two:

Those who can't do math -- English Majors

Those who can -- Poodles of the Oil Companies

I'd make up a badge for the Poodle Club, but those skin-flint oil companies haven't paid me a dime.  If any Poodle has tapped into that giant pool of tainted money, let the rest of us know.  :)

ps.  I don't consider FB readers.

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 6

We're going to get to the end, I promise.  When nasa talks about greenhouse gases and the carbon hypothesis, they wilfully ignore the elephant in the room, the Convection Elephant.

In reality, all the heat energy in the Earth is swirled around by convection.  It comes up from deep in the earth, and you get Hawaii.  Then there is solar heat, and that is moved around by oceans and the atmosphere.  The oceans contain and move heat energy orders of magnitude above the air.  Yet, it is the air that plays the final part in getting rid of excess heat.

It is amazing and God's Will, that we have had 'shirtsleeve' temperatures on the Earth for billions of years, ever since life began.  God's Will is the amazing collection of physical laws that we have to arrange this.  Now, again, you can turn this around by saying that if it weren't for those laws we wouldn't be around to discuss God's Will.  You can kill yourself thinking about this.  :)

Anyway, the world is a perfect heat pipe.  There is nothing you could do to upset this, nuclear war, big meteorite, the Silurian industrial revolution :).  It all settles down in a million years.


Wednesday, May 9, 2018

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 5

The big truck on the highway is convection.  If you want serious heat transfer, that's the way to go.  It's orders of magnitude more efficient than the others (factors of 10).  If you have a gaming PC, you know that conduction and radiation isn't going to cool your processor.  You need moving fluid, and that's convection.

Natural convection is the air rising from the hot land.  Gliders and big hawks use the thermals generated by convection.  It quickly cools the desert at night.  It is one of the most powerful things in Nature.  Ignore it at your peril!

The biggest mover of heat by convection is the Deep Earth, or the Mantle.  There is a huge amount of heat generated by radiation deep in the Earth.  There might even some left-over formation heat.  The Outer Core is also fluid and has severe convection.  Our magnetic field is created by convection, and if we didn't have it, the warmies would have something serious to worry about.  The latest scare story is about this convection changing course and flipping the magnetic poles.  That's because severe convection is chaotic, and anything can happen.  I wouldn't worry about it.

You can see convection in your morning oatmeal, but nobody really defines it well.  In fact, all of this stuff is poorly explained.  The explanations assume you know the answer in the first place.  This doesn't work with English Majors or FB readers.

Convection is just billiard balls, but the billiard balls are moving.  This puts a lot of oomph into it.  You can move the billiard balls by pumping fluid, but there is a good natural trick that allows us all to live (physical law).  If we didn't have the physics laws that we do, we wouldn't be here to talk about them.  Think of them as God's will, if you want.  Do not get in their way!

The billiard balls in fluid have a neat trick.  As they vibrate, they expand the space around them.  This makes them less dense.  Although I said that density is an inviolate property of matter, it changes with temperature.  Less dense fluid rises.  Don't ask me why, that's another lesson, just go with it.  You can look at a hot air balloon, and say "Ah, the hot air inside is less dense and it rises."  English majors will be so impressed!

-  to be continued

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 4

Attention:  I've just been told that NASA would never agree with any of this basic physics.  Do not read if you believe in the "Infallibility of the Pope of NASA".

There are 3 main types of heat transfer, or heat flow.  The first is what I showed before - conduction.

The billiard balls or molecules are in a tight net and heat is transferred by immediate contact.  This is one of the least significant ways of transferring heat.  You get it mostly at your stove.  If you touch the handle of your cast iron frying pan, you get burned.  That brings up 'conductivity' which is a fundamental property of matter, like density.  Highly conductive materials, like cast iron and copper, spread heat rapidly.  You pick these things up with your silicone mitts, which have low conductivity.  All three of these properties have nothing to do with each other -- conductivity, density, and specific heat (ability to store heat energy).  The are defined when you cast the metal.

The second most useless heat transfer mechanism is 'radiation'.  Just heat radiation, not the nuclear thing.   If you have a nifty thermal camera, like the CAT one I once had, then you can see pictures with infra-red.  We have neat infra-red sensors in our face.  Close your eyes and pivot to something hot, like a fireplace or stove.  You can detect it.  We got that from the snakes.  :) 

How it works:  If the solid gets warm enough, the billiard balls start to vibrate wildly on the surface.  That causes electrons to shift orbits.  A photon is created which takes away energy.  Warm objects release very low frequency photons, even microwaves.  As the object becomes hotter, you can see the 'red' because of higher frequencies.  It can go up and up to 'white hot'.  Your LED lights are rated by the temperature of a tungsten filament.  Something like 3500K for warm white, and 5000K for Arctic Blue light.  Degrees Kelvin is just Celsius but starting from Absolute Zero.

You just worry about radiation heat loss from your windows. Although it is very minor in the Grand Scheme of Things, it is the Be-All and End-All of nasa physics and the carbon hypothesis.  I would compare it to an English Major playing on the highway, worrying about butterflies, while big trucks bear down on him.  Maybe he will be able to compose "The Danger of Butterflies on the Highway" before something happens.  :)  To the very end, he will be convinced that there are only butterflies on the highway.

-- to be continued

Bell Canada ignores physics with fiber connection

I love to point out when institutions ignore physics.  They never admit it until something bad happens, and then they still don't admit it.  Here is my video.

You'll note my greenhouse Reincarnation #2 after 120 km/hr winds.  The loose cable will flap against the pole 10,000 times before it breaks the fiber.  Anyway, I've so terrified my guy about the 'Bell Killer Ladies" that he's properly securing the cable.  I can't make a formal complaint about the neighbour's cable.  Sucks to be him.

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 3

So, we conclude that equating temperature and heat energy is like dropping the hammer over your toe and arguing in a movie that it will go up.  Things that hit you are driven by energy.  You can ignore physics by designing huge escalators in Vancouver, or the mass production of Tesla cars, but it always hits you in the end.  All our major disasters come from ignoring basic physics, and it's an epidemic.

So although discussing physics makes you a "Poodle of the Oil Companies", let's plunge into it.  Do not discuss this at elegant Trudeau cocktail parties.  Do not discuss with trumpy bible thumpers on Facebook.  It will get you thrown out. 

There's lots of neat things to steal on the internet.  This is classic heat conduction.  The molecules start jiggling and then get their neighbours excited.  This is a 'circular definition' diagram since it doesn't explain what the big Heat Arrow is.  But it is just more vibrating molecules in the form of a hot gas (fire).  Again the first molecule may have a high temperature, but almost no heat energy.  When everything starts vibrating, then you have heat energy.  The amount of that energy is the 'specific heat' times temperature.  Very dense and loose molecules, like water, can hold an enormous amount of heat energy.  Solid, dry rock holds very little.  That is why deserts can be very hot in the day, and freezing at night.  Lots of temperature, but no heat energy. 

--to be continued

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 2

It's a funny thing that the Carbon Hypothesis went against every law of physics, and Principles of Geology (Uniformity), but was successfully argued by the talented English Majors.  Because no physics supported the requirement that the atmosphere act as glass (greenhouse gases) they invoked magic (unknown interactions with water vapour).  Everybody accepted this, and Harry Potter is the reason.

The main physics that was so rudely ignored is Heat Flow and Heat Transfer.  On a molecular scale, this is just billiard balls bashing into each other.  Heat or temperature is defined as the degree to which the molecule is vibrating.  Heat energy is the ability for that heat to do work, such as the mercury rising when you stick in a thermometer, or moving electrons with a digital thermometer.

Equating heat and heat energy is the biggest physics sin of the English Majors.  A litre of water contains 4,000 times more heat energy than a litre of dry air, at the same temperature.  Moist air contains at least 10 times more heat energy than dry.  In practical terms, the oceans contain many factors of 10 (orders of magnitude) more heat energy than the atmosphere.  With my greenhouse in the back, the temperature stability comes from the thermal mass (moist soil) underneath it, and not the air inside.

-- to be continued

Tiny earthquake felt in Ajax, Ontario


This tiny earthquake is notable for the fact it was felt.  Lots of earthquakes in the lake.

They hang around in the lakes because of slow seepage into the deep granitic basement.  The major fault here is the Hamilton Fault, which can produce an M7+. 

Tuesday, May 8, 2018

A Primer on the Physics of Heat Flow, and Why There is No Global Warming - Part 1

If you corner a warmie, you'll never talk physics or math.  That's because all the so-called Climate Scientists are ex English Majors trying to make a living.  Their skill is convincing people that black is white, and they do it very well.

I have no audience for Basic Physics.  It is not a subject raised in intellectual circles.  Can you imagine talking to Trudeau about it?  Just like riding in elevators, everybody assumes that somebody else is taking care of it. 

My strength is Newtonian Physics, which is the physics of everyday things.  I apply it mostly to earthquakes, and buildings subjected to earthquakes.  All things follow F = Ma, or force equals mass times acceleration.  You can't get away from that basic thing, but people try to get away from other basic physics.

You can get away from physics until you reach a point where you have to do something or get something to work.  The same with Basic Logic.  It always fun to watch Great Schemes come crashing to earth when they actually launch them.  All the talking in the world, or endless debating doesn't help.

Specifically, we are talking about our past warming spell.  These cycles have happened countless times in geological history, but it was argued that this one was 'different'.  It is ever so with cycles.  Now, it is crashing, but people will argue that the past is greater than the present because of 'momentum'.  That's physics, but they pass it as 'making sense'.  So, although global temperatures are crashing, and Arctic ice is building, they talk about ''last year', or the previous twenty years.  It's kind of cute.

-- to be continued

Monday, May 7, 2018

Dance recital -- hot

The recital with my daughter was hot, but we're getting cold.  Funny thing.

Dance recitals are impossible on utube because of the vicious copyright thing. 

Arctic Ice Volume Goes Happy, Happy

Global temps and Arctic Ice Volume go hand in hand.  All of the last warm spell was a North Pole and Mid-latitude thing only.  The South Pole temps have been rock solid, and all the ice calving is an ocean current thing.

So, we have big 'Ding, Dong, the wicked witch is dead.'.  But the witch doesn't know it yet.  And in the racing chart, April has cut a line.  I suspect it will be cutting lots of lines now.  That last bit of ice volume reduction was due to those monster hurricanes, which were due to cold air hitting the Atlantic belt.

Honestly, I still think it's a year before all the warmies hide and sit on their tenure.

The Ice Age Marches On

All those happy people thinking it's going to get super hot, and that is a cause for dreadful anxiety.  Well, people, stop taking those drugs and drinking your life away.  We can celebrate our new Ice Age.  That's opposed to Major Ice Advance.  None of that for a while.

Yeah, our global temperatures have taken a big dip.  We are now well underwater from the carbon hypothesis and projections.  Normally, that would have people jumping up and down and yelling "What a big hunk of bs!".  But, it's a religion or urban myth, and that won't go down easily.  And none of those fanatics are taking questions.  :)

Both the Northern and Southern Hemispheres are showing a dip.  The North Pole has a very fuzzy graph, with a long rise, and a recent indication towards cold.  Can't wait to see the ice volume chart, due any minute now.

Here's are very fuzzy North Pole.  You can see some huge dips now.

On the other hand, those who wish to scare us with the South Pole had better get another source of income.

Nada, nothing, flat as whatshername's chest.  :)

Natural gas prices still aren't at earthquake levels

I had assumed that the cold weather would drain all the storage and zoom natgas.  It did drain the storage, but the price is low.  In January we had a lot of OK earthquakes, so that peak is probably what you need to bring on earthquakes.  That frack waste would have come from Texas and the southern states.  The big volumes would come, in the summer, from the NE states and that isn't happening.  Unless natgas goes up to the Jan levels, no earthquakes.  :(

Saturday, May 5, 2018

Toronto housing kicks up a bit

Listings are up, and my old guy sold his house right away over asking.  Animal spirits are on the rise, as well as interest rates.  Very interesting times.

Friday, May 4, 2018

Toronto blasted by wind

100 km an hour or greater . My greenhouse is down .Neighborhood shingles are off . Trees are pre precarious .Blah . No power . Doing this on my phone .

ps.  next day.  Wow, that was stinky!  A good 10% of all roofs were ripped.  The newer roofs did well, as did mine.  My greenhouse failed in a safe manner, all the supports just shook out, and the poly just ripped at the grommets.

That was it during the windstorm.  I just threw weights on everything.

Now it's all patched and in safe shutdown mode.  I might leave it like that for a while.


Thursday, May 3, 2018

Linux - kernel 14.17 rc3 works well with new chip

I got a Ryzen 5 chip with built-in radeon vega graphics.  It has 8 cores and is 3 times faster than a 2 year old AMD chip.  The kernel 14.16 was having lots of troubles such as giving me that flash of junk on the screen before login and always freezing if left alone for an hour or two.  The new kernel is blessedly problem-free.  I still haven't tried the power management, which didn't work at all on 4.16.

This is a lesson on what to expect with new stuff.  I'm amazed that improvements came so fast.

ps.  darn, still freezing.

Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Oklahoma earthquake hypothesis fails

There it is.  No activity whatsoever.  And I know that gas frack waste must be pouring into the place.  I was expecting a high rate of seismic energy.  I'm getting out of the OK earthquake biz now.  They must have God on their side, or it's building up for a really big one.

I'm just enjoying the warm weather, and I was wrong on that, too.  Hypotheses fail all the time, that's good science.  I don't mind it, but major institutions will never admit that they were wrong.  Instant death.

ps.  since natgas prices just crashed again, there may be the possibility that there was never a big rush of gas frack waste.  We'll never know.

Toronto School Bus Crash

It was empty.  No little kiddies hurt in the making of this movie.  I start fairly early with the little Toyota weaving in and out with no signals.  He then enters the intersection on a red light, and I think the school bus is a bit late.  Not saying anything, mind you.

Too bad my audio was off for the crash sound.

Driver of the bus had an airbag burn, but didn't want an ambulance.  No police will come unless an ambulance is called.  You have to go to the crash reporting centre, which is very near to that spot.  I have obscured everything for FB-quality privacy.  :)

ps.  The company is Switzer-Carty.  They have one of those massive screens so you can't contact them, and probably never read their form that doesn't really work.  If you know anybody there, give them this link.

pps.  The crazy form got through, and they thanked me.

Friday, April 27, 2018

Natural Gas Weekly

And they have some text.

So, we are in an ice age, and they better store more for the next winter.  All this means that every gas frack rig available is fracking away.  But the OK earthquakes are quiet.  Such a corundum.

ps.  It's funny that natgas has dived because we are in for a week of warm weather.  There is no Pacific heat, so wait until next week.

Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Linux - Ryzen5 with gpu many times faster than my old junk

The speed improvement is tremendous.  Handbrake gets all 8 processors going full speed, and cuts the time to process by hours.

You have to install the amd firmware, or the screen doesn't work.

I used an msi motherboard and it all worked.  I thought I was being smart and just switching the boot disk, but it goes nuts.  I had to reinstall Debian.

ps.  amd iommu gives trouble, and I did this link.

Saturday, April 21, 2018

Putting up a greenhouse for the coming ice age

So, we can never grow tomatoes in Canada unless we have a greenhouse.  I'm using an old Quebec garage from Costco, and putting 6 mil plastic from ammie on top.

Then it is raised on the main poles and I hope it can withstand the winds.  The heavier stuff is twice as expensive.  Everybody needs a greenhouse for the next 20 years, or 300 years, whatever.

ps.  so miserable to handle with plastic with just a puff of wind.  Now I'm stitching on the roof with grommets and cable ties.

All done with the standard white sides and I put in the tomatoes in their containers.  So dang hot in their, I'm leaving the front with loose clear plastic.

The Frack Waste Injection at Arnold, Nebraska


Really, people.  The usgs is going on about that this cluster is 'natural' and organic.  'These things happen'.  And old Mr. Google shows what is going on.

This is a classic waste injection layout.  The trucks drive into the shed and dump the waste.  They are all exactly like this. 

This shows a truck in the station.

Anyhow, it should stop soon, when they stop handling gas frack waste at twice the normal rate.  As usual, it will all be denied.  "Wasn't me."

Friday, April 20, 2018

Amherstburg Earthquake - Right under a giant salt operation

I just had to look for drilling rigs.  This is much better!  We can now say the earthquake was due to the operations.  Could be the extraction of weight, which is good for a thrust earthquake.  Or they are injecting ever deeper.

There was a big Attica NY earthquake due to salt operations.  Again, if there are no more earthquakes, then it's a mass-removal thing, which is as close as you can get to 'pure'.  More earthquakes indicate injection.

Linux - Motherboard form factors

Watch out people.  I was replacing the motherboard, but it was for 'mini' ATX which they don't make anymore.  You can only get (for AM4) 'micro' ATX which is actually bigger, and does not have common screw holes with the mini.

I'm waiting for a new case.  I got a Ryzen 5 with graphics.  It totally surprised me that the Ryzen 7 doesn't have any basic graphics.  I'm returning that along with a cooler since the r5 has a simple air cooler.  You really need a large case with a big water cooler with the r7.

I thought to have it done this weekend, but drat.

Detroit-Windsor Earthquake Vlog

So much fun!  One day this could be live, with text questions.  But I run Linux, and it's tough.

Detroit and Windsor Earthquake

A deep thrust earthquake felt over a large area.  M4, intensity 4.  We must allow this to be a natural earthquake, they do happen sometimes.  This is the Grenville Front, which runs under the Bruce Nuclear Waste Thing.  I can't imagine what would happen, should anybody decide to inject natgas frack waste.  :)

For those interested, you can look up my endless posts on our wonderful megathrusts.

ps.  a plot of 'my' seismometers

and the spread of earthquakes

pps.  This also goes along with my conjecture that the strain field from large Oklahoma earthquakes is enough to activate large earthquakes here.  It happened after New Madrid, and I'm thinking of a devastating m7 on the Hamilton fault.

more:  for now, on my vlog, I'm calling this an injection earthquake, unless proven otherwise.  Always assume guilt before innocence.  :)

Thursday, April 19, 2018

Natural Gas Supplies Diving Underwater

Judging from my dog walk this morning, we aren't warm yet.  We're getting a few days of maple syrup weather, then back into snow.  The storage line is heading for the 'Big Brick Wall'.  I estimate that there are only 2 weeks of natgas left.  This report will lift prices for new gas fracking.

The Oklahoma m6 earthquakes are all lining up on the main seismic mechanism.  Each m6 knocks away a bump and makes things smoother.  Then it's the wet foot on an old bathtub.  We've had 3 or 4 significant m6 episodes, so it's only a few more.

I can mention all this because there is no hysteria whatsoever.  :)

ps.  No lefties will take this up as being caused by the greed of the right, since all this is because the nasa physics is a crock.

Oklahoma earthquakes following the script

More earthquakes, so I am able to make a guess on where the next m6 activity will take place, and predictions for the coming m7's.

The earthquake mechanisms are now lining up perfectly.

ps.  Actually I like being always right and never believed.  I can be honest.  If I suddenly had 'gravitas' like nasa, I'd have to filter every word.  Lucky for me the newspapers are full of reports from time travellers. :)

Wednesday, April 18, 2018

Trudeau Photo-bombed by Happy Students

Somebody did what I always like to do -- put horns on the star.  Note the two fingers right behind his head.  Probably will be a big scandal in Canada.  "How dare they invite somebody like that!"  I can never get over the wonderful stupidity of the world.  :)

USGS has some fun - Haywired


I won't read it, who cares about California?  Everybody is competing with the 'deadliest earthquake' thing.  Only thing is that next deadly earthquake won't be the one with the best press agent.

May the better earthquake win!

Arnold, Nebraska Clueless About Injection


I can say with absolute certainty:  Every unusual spot of earthquake action in the Mid-west is due to some well operator taking a chance on injecting gas frack waste.  He can inject other stuff all day long, but then gets tempted by the riches.

So, this little town is getting some fame and excitement.  They won't be happy too long, if they continue to inject and say "What?".  Eventually, they stop and nobody is the wiser.  It has happened in every state so far.  They have to send these stuff to OK, where the earthquakes are slowly picking up again.

Weather, weather everywhere, and not a speck of warmth

Actually, the British warmies are enjoying the only warmth in the Northern Hemisphere.  Drat.  They are getting all the Atlantic heat, with really weird winds.  None of that will come our way.

The Arctic ice will be very happy this month.  I can't see how the warmth will come at the end of May.  Those Vancouver plumes just bring us snow.  We'll have days of warmth with a Gulf plume, but then it will get swept away to the UK.  Not fair.  Unless things change, I see another horrid summer, but my tomatoes will be in my greenhouse. 

Tuesday, April 17, 2018

The Big San Francisco Earthquake Article


A soon-to-be-published paper by Caltech engineers showed that an earthquake with a similar intensity of the one that struck Chichi, Taiwan in 1999 would bring down or render unusable numerous steel frame high rises in Los Angeles.

We had the wonderful Portland New Yorker article, that scared everybody.  Now we have the New York Times version for San Fran.  It's a great article, and it has weird interactive pictures and stuff.  Just like tv!

The Taiwan earthquake was 50 to 60 cm/s.  Great articles on it confirmed the use of PGV for these things.  It was ignored by the US.  This article will probably use PGA, the dingies. 

However, I still vote for Oklahoma as the next big disaster quake.  :)

Tesla's 'California Model' fails for mass production


More billions wasted with the Carbon Hypothesis.  I'm glad nasa quickly eliminated the Silurian Hypothesis, using the Scientific Method.  Would they have applied the same rigour to "Air as Glass'.

But I digress.  The Facebook California Model is to pay the few programmers that are more than 10 times more productive than the bunch, ten times more.  I saw this when I was in Palo Alto to see my son's California Startup.  It is a great method, but these people burn out at 35 and you quickly run out of such talent.

Musk did well scooping them up for SpaceX, but did horribly with Tesla mass-production.  No brilliant person wants to work in a factory.  God knows I hated it when the old company purged all brilliance and went pedestrian.  So, he only had idiots to work with.

I have no hope for him because he is trying to exploit global warming when we have tipped into an era of 'Cooling is Warming'.  The all-electric car makes no sense in our new Ice Age.  Have fun getting anywhere in a Tesla 3 at 40 below!

Natural gas is running out, and we will need heating until the end of May.  Lots of fun.

Monday, April 16, 2018

Prediction of a large Oklahoma earthquake

Natgas futures are way up.  The stress shadow is over, but the trucks take a week to roll in.  As well, I think it is building.  If there isn't m6 energy in 2 weeks, then my hypothesis is a loser.  Of course, then I'll just come up with a new one, but this one has been good for years now.

Legalize All Drugs


With Ontario about to elect the druggiest of all drug people, it is time to end the 'war'.  The only treatment for drugs and alcohol is 'controlled consumption'.  That's a program where the addict is allowed all the drugs they want, but the amount is tracked.  There is a high success rate as they want to taper down and join the real world.

Cocaine is mainly a drug used with alcohol.  Natural heroin is much better than the synthetics.  Substitution with cannabis (with mostly cbd) is better than all of them.  If we legalize all the drugs, with the money going to treatment, then we save billions.  We can also use the money to give the homeless homes, which works well in Finland.

I'm now thinking of giant greenhouses with coca plants.  I loved coca tea down in Peru.  It uses the same chemical pathways as caffeine. 

Sunday, April 15, 2018

Microplastics in Everything

Besides the usual 'Warming is Freezing Us' stories in the Guardian, this week's scare story is all about microplastics killing us.

Here I put in some comments with the replies.

hasmis 2h ago

I've never had a problem with teabags in the compost. For coffee, I use a standard paper
filter which also is good in the compost. The thing about micro plastic reminds me of the big
scare about nano-particles a few years ago, and pcb's before that. Always a new scare, that's
how newspapers make money. :)

M G  hasmis 2h ago

I've never had a problem with teabags in the compost

In what universe is it a good idea to put microplastic in compost?

As it happens some bullshit about the EU banning recycling of teabags was one of Boris Johnson's
long list of lies about the EU.
Production of pcbs was notionally banned way back in the 70s, which is why it's now
*less* prominent, it hasn't disappeared. Given the lifespan of equipment containing them
, a large quantity should have disappeared or will be handled by more recent regs on recycling
electrical equipment, at least in the EU. In much the same way CFC issues haven't gone
away, they've just been less significant - we've just scrapped an 18 yr old freezer
that couldnt be regassed and had to be disposed of responsibly.

hasmis  hasmis 5m ago

To sum up, I'm sorry about making fun of this week's scare stories. The microplastic in
my garden soil is bound by the huge amount of vermiculite, and you don't want to see a
parts per million analysis of *that* stuff. Next week's scare story. The stuff I drink is washed
out by cancerous coffee, and the sea salt interacted with red wine, a tad over my daily limit, so
I'm losing 2 minutes of life. My friend, of 86, only has a few years left due to advanced prostate
cancer, and you know what that's from (lack thereof). When summer finally comes to Canada,
I'll be inhaling wood smoke and eating my fresh-caught Lake Trout. All in all, I probably
won't live long enough to see the effects of micro-plastic.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

Stress Shadow Ends for Oklahoma Earthquakes

It has always been a feature of OK earthquakes that a major energy release has a stress shadow that usually lasts a week.  No earthquakes over m4 during that time.  There is some good Newtonian physics supporting that, but we only do 'story time' nasa physics now, as used by the usgs.  According to the stories, cutting down on saltwater injection is doing great.

This was an m4 according to far seismometers.  In the next few days we'll get a spattering of these, until the next major episode.  Natural gas is going nuts as New York runs out, and we stay cold.  Right now, fleets of trucks are heading for OK.  Have fun everybody!

ps.  Right now, on the weekend, OK is just bubbling at an m3 a day.  Nobody injects on the weekend.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Running Out of Natural Gas in the US East

You read it here first.  Since I keep track of natgas for Oklahoma earthquakes, I noticed last week that they only had 2 weeks of reserves, and I was predicting a lot more winter, due to our little ice age problem.  This is now confirmed by the British warmies that global warming is causing global cooling.

This is a chart of the week of East natgas spot prices.  Another article says the same.

As for the earthquakes, last week's intense activity seems to have caused a shadow.  No earthquakes.  I've seen this before, and I expect it to be bigger and better than ever, soon enough.

Linux -- writing to an ext4 flash drive

If you have a file larger than 4 gbyte, then you need to go to ext4, a linux filesystem.  This is not as easy as it might appear, since ext4 carries the full linux permissions thing.  You never had to worry about that with fat32.

I wanted to transfer a big file to the old guys chromebook.  The ext4 flash drive auto mounts, but that's no good.  You have to mount to a mount point, and then you have to use root to make it read/writable, such as chmod a+rw usb3, after a umount /dev/sdc1, and a mount /dev/sdc1 usb3

A bit of pain.  I have yet to check if it can load onto the chromebook.

Thursday, April 12, 2018

Ocean currents changing due to carbon - Warming is cooling the oceans


It turns out that the ocean currents, which are a million times more energetic than the atmosphere, are being turned off by carbon warming.  The mechanism which rivals nasa physics in its simplicity is that the warming is melting the glaciers and the Arctic ice.  This is cooling the oceans and stopping the Gulf Stream.

Next, we'll have carbon affecting plate tectonics, and perhaps the orbit of the Earth.  We can only hope.  With this much power, its no wonder that I'll never oppose nasa physics.

Newtonian physics might have said something about the tail wagging the dog, but we know that is common, according to social physics.

I'm going to bed.

ps.  as I have said before, expect a lot of 'Cooling is Warming' stories.

pps.  The Guardian weighs in.

They have neglected to mention that all the cold water hitting the Gulf Stream is going around Greenland, and coming from the Arctic.