Monday, December 11, 2017

New Jobs for Climate Scientists

I am now being very kind to the warmies in the Gard.  They don't respond to anything any more.  Like I said, they may be all frozen.  However, in the event that a few survive by hiding in the university basement, I am making up a list for jobs.

Qualifications

-former English Majors who went into this life because it was a good living.
-can't do physics if it hit them on the head
-can't do math
-very good at bludgeoning people in the media and on email
-excellent at semantics for introducing new terms such as 'denier'.
-excellent making 'ad hoc' explanations on the fly, such as 'oceans gobbling all the heat'

Possible Jobs

-bitcoin promoter -- "It will keep going up until it destroys the world economy'
-ocean doomer -- "Plastics will kill us all"
-back to the 70's ozone doomers "The hole will expand and give us all cancer"
-back to peak oil doomers "We'll run out of oil", or food, or copper.

In short, there are lots of jobs.  Soon, universities, those masters of expediency, will be promoting atmospheric physics to desperately attract students.  However, they will have to deal with the remaining tenure walking-dead warmie bodies.  They could send them out for a walk.  :)

Sunday, December 10, 2017

The Dogs of Physics are Rising

Reference


Dolomites resorts have had to rely on snow machines since the 1980s, but now nature has finally done the job.


... and the dogs are going to gnaw on the bones of frozen warmies.  A month ago I stated in the Gard that it was going to get real cold.  They said I was nuts and it would always get warmer.  They refused to buy good winter coats!  Now, they are all frozen in snowdrifts, and food for the wolves. 

The browbeaten dogs of Physics should be coming out soon and devouring  them.  All the warmies had was 'The Trend' and now it has let them down.  Sad. 

Reference2

Hundreds of schools to shut on Monday as more travel disruption likely.



However, those crazy Euries with their diesel cars are going to have trouble.  And the kids will have to learn physics out in the snow. 

Perhaps they have electric cars?  My son can't even cross the city in his, in the winter.  No more scarfing down our food.


Saturday, December 9, 2017

Alberta Clipper to Hit Toronto



This is relatively weak compared to the ones we've had before.  Nevertheless, we have a Pacific plume coming up to Alaska and then coming down to us in Toronto.  It should give us a little bit of snow.  There are no strong ocean currents to support this, but it's happening anyway.  I suppose it was too much to think they aren't going to happen with the absence of the North Pacific Current.  I'm still looking at the Gulf Stream, and it looks threatened by the cold Arctic flow.  England should enjoy very cold weather now.  No wonder Megan is heading for Aussie-land.  :)

ps.  Britain goes back to Jane Austen winters.


Starving Polar Bear

Don't forget to goog 'Starving Polar Bear' before you go all warmie on us.  In previous reincarnations of this picture, it was pointed out by a bear expert that's how all bears die of old age.  I'm sure he was attacked enough times by the warmies that he keeps his mouth shut now.

When they show this junk, the hidden assumption is that this would be a young, healthy bear, had there been a little more ice.  The warmies never bring out their hidden assumptions.

Anyway, the ice is building up again as we relive our 50's 60's 70's 80's temperature cycle again.  Have fun in the 70's!  I always liked disco.  :)

Linux Zoneminder

A new update caused me endless problems.  After many hours I found:

That's the same camera I've got. It works well.
ZM_PATH_ZMS is relative to your webroot. It cannot be an absolute folder path.
Change it to /cgi-bin/nph-zms


Linux - Video stabilization

I used to put the dance recital videos up on utube and then use their stabilization.  You always have some shakes when you record.  I never really worried about it because the post-processing is so good.  No real need for a tripod.

However, the aggressive hollywood weinsteins have banned all background music on the tube.  You can't show any dance any more, even when there are performance licenses.  And you can't really challenge them and live.

The instructions are here.  However, I found that you have to get rid of your Debian ffmpeg in order to use the deb.multmedia version.  This screwed up my Zoneminder.  Also, Debian makes it very difficult to put on deb.multmedia. org.  I used to do it all the time, but now I went through the long procedure.

And Google Photos takes hours to process a video.  Yuck, but the results are the same or better than utubby.



Friday, December 8, 2017

Toronto Real Estate Frozen for the Winter


As we ease into 'that 70's show' for the weather, the prices slowly die.  All the distressed houses in the neighbourhood have gone off the market.  No sales.  I suppose they are hopeful for the Spring, but there is no hope.  Total market money, sales times price, is probably as low as it can get.  All the hot money has gone to bittcoins.  Short term rentals are banned, so this plunges things further.


Thursday, December 7, 2017

Canada is attacked again by the Windsor Hum

Reference

I've written a lot on the hum, seeing that it is closely related to earthquake effects.  These people are located on a 'drumming sediment', which resonates exactly with the frequency of the mysterious steel plant in Michigan.

This is rich, considering that Michigan is always bitching about our nuclear waste in the world's worst rock.

There is probably no resolution to this issue.  Wait until these guys get a real earthquake!  They really need a seismic noise test done by someone with brains.


Wednesday, December 6, 2017

Global Temperatures Falling Again

I knew the results of this chart before it came out.  That's because Toronto temperatures follow it exactly.  September and October had a big rise because of weird interactions with the cold and Atlantic heat.  Now we are back to what the physics says.



They are late again with the Arctic ice volume, but it should track this chart.  The physics shows there is no heat anywhere, so we go down.  I think this is like the 60's - lots of variability, and then we hit the 70's.  In 2 months we go below the line, 3 months and we hit the bottom of the chart.

ps.  However, the Arctic ice volume is just following the general trend for the season.  I'm still expecting it to cut in a bit more, like it did during our miserable summer.  However, with everything up there at 30 below, I suspect there is a maximum rate issue.  The physics will drive everything back to the 70's and the polar bears will dance on the ice and drink their cokes.  :)





pps.  oh, and natural gas has hit a new bottom, which shows what I know about people. 

Sunday, December 3, 2017

Apple Steals Your Face

Reference



This is interesting.  Apple is selling a micro-map of your face.  Next they will be selling your iris and retina patterns.  With fingers, you got 10 of them.  No so for your face.  This will just ensure your face becomes useless for unlocking.

For the Internet I use a strong password generator, running on javascript so it is never transmitted on the air.  Then I use two-factor for Google, and I have Mr. Google store the passwords.  Don't use your face as a password for everything, and don't use ilovelucy as a password for everything.


Return of the Ice Fogs to Toronto

Pea soup this morning.  These were common in my youth. They are caused by the lack of any warm air plumes pushing the stuff away.  They were always so bad in the 60's and 70's that the airport and anything north was totally cut off.  I was going on a car trip to cut a Christmas tree, but now that is not on the table.

I really can't remember all the other weather conditions of those by-gone years, but I'm sure we'll be seeing them soon.

ps.  I just went for a walk with the dog.  OMG, the stuff just goes through you.  This was all thrown out of my memory a long time ago.  Now, the solar and wind people will get to know the real Ontario.

Saturday, December 2, 2017

World Temperatures Plunge - Volcano to be Icing on the Cake

Reference

I just want to get this in before the warmies blame all the cold on the volcano.  It's just like the people blaming the death of the dinosaurs on a meteorite, or whatever.  The dinos were dying of cold a long time before any event.  It's plate tectonics, and it causes huge temperature cycles of a few hundred million years.  Right now we are headed towards the minimum, very slowly.

Next week I'll add the world temperature chart, and the ice volume chart.  Maybe they won't be what I expect.  That would be a bummer.  :)

If you actually follow physics, you would notice that world temperatures are only affected by tropical volcanoes.  The Iceland volcanoes only kill Europe, and Mt. St. Helens didn't do anything.  There was also a huge South American volcano - nada.   That's because the world only gets net solar heat at the equator.  The poles shed all their solar heat at the end of the day.  Rock and ice don't hold much heat.  And clear air convection is a powerful thing. (Warmies deny it)

So, a tropical volcano spreads the particulates all over the equatorial belt.  The net heat build-up is drastically reduced, and we freeze.  This volcano hasn't gone ballistic yet, but it could.  It could also just die down again. 

Photo


Friday, December 1, 2017

Shopping Cart Rustlers Hit Toronto

My favourite supermarket is in the sleaziest plaza in Toronto, slated for demolition.  They had tons of old carts that still used quarters.  Now, every cart is gone.  They don't have the brightest at stores due to close, so everybody was complaining, and the staff had quizzical brows.  It will probably be another day before they call the police.

Such a plaza would never have video cameras, so the rustlers have probably already packed their container for Nigeria.  I would think they would make a few thousand on it.

The main media will finally have this story in another week or two, after more stores have been hit.

This is not fake news, nobody could make this up.  :)

ps.  Saturday morning, the busiest time, and all the old ladies are waiting in the cold, at the return spots.  It's a real pity.

Thursday, November 30, 2017

Delaware earthquake, shallow thrust



Intensity 5.  This is a great Eastern earthquake, but really small.  When I was raised in my nuclear career, these earthquakes were my life.  Until Oklahoma, these were all we had.  Now, somebody will raise the possibility of really large earthquake on the coast, but all the hubbub will die down in a few days.  Nobody puts down a penny to study these things now.

ps.  Funny, but I was the last guy to study this stuff.  While I was still around all the US utilities just went to their PR departments and issued 'I'm all right, Jack.' statements.  Soon, the Canadians joined in.  It was much cheaper.

pps.  Absolutely no earthquake doomers on this.  They've all moved to Portland.  :)

Canada about to release new digital currency - Canabits

Reference



This will be amazing (it's fake news).     The currency will be issued at value of $1 cdn, but is expected to zoom up to a million in a week, as the Chinese find out aboot it.  It will be encrypted, based on a particular moose call, and beaver tail slap.

Soon, we will be paying for our Canadabis with our Canabits.  We'll leave the trumpystates and sunderedbritain in the dust!

ps.  Come on, Justin, do this!  We are the best miners in the world, all the water resources of Quebec can be used for it, and it will be protected by the crypto-smarts of Canadian banks.  And unlike oil, it does not warm us up.  :)

pps.  Every Canadian will be issued with 10 Canabits. 

The Doomers are Dead, Long Live the Doomers

Reference



The warmie doomers are dead, nobody believes them when they are freezing.  The new doomers are here, saying the oceans are dying from our trash.  Never mind that New York has been dumping trash in the ocean for years.  Never mind that the lady said she has never pulled up garbage.  This is a Doomer Moment.

The 'Fall' of the Warmies

Reference



In the earthquake biz we call them 'false correlators' and they die by the dozens -- clouds, weather, planets, you name it.  In the stock market we call them 'momentum investors', and they also die.  These warmies are 'trend riders' without a mechanism.

Why doesn't anybody else mention this, other than a crazy guy with nothing to lose?  It's because of this:

Reference


This is their finest work yet.  It just boils down to the fact that they are name-calling everybody who believes in the Scientific Method -- 'Sub-Human Trumpies, Killers of Polar Bears'.

No working scientist would put themselves up for this mud slinging, so they hide.

But, the worm has turned, there's not a speck of surplus heat any more.  I enjoy putting in comments and getting all the slinging while they are still feisty.  As I summarized in the comments "No warmie philosopher has ever stooped so low as to put out a hypothesis, and conduct an experiment."

ps.  Whereas other trend riders die the instant bitcoin tumbles, these guys will drag on forever, citing older and older studies, and living on larger and larger moving averages. 

Wednesday, November 29, 2017

Natural gas price in bitcoin mode


I'm going to say, since I have no money in it, that the price will zoom pass the top of this chart.  This should be the rise, when they realize the warmies are all philosophy, and we are going to get hammered by cold.  Of course, it could go down again.  :)

Tuesday, November 28, 2017

Linux - using a VPN service

As you might know, some crazy people are going to the Supreme Court of Canada, so they can sue millions of Canadians.  I suspect the Court is going to whack them, since it has so many repercussions.

Although I never do anything, I decided to go to a vpn service for my legal downloads of Linux updates.  You never know when Hollywood producers decide to go crazy, and abuse women, and such things.

I went with IPVanish which had a lot of good reviews.  It's something like $60 USD a year.  I tried to arrange a full vpn for Linux, through Network Manager, but it screwed up the local dns.  Couldn't figure it out.  Luckily, my favourite legal bittorrent client, Deluge, has a proxy setup.  So, you can set up Socks5 with authorization, using their supplied info.  This works fantastically.  Super fast, and soon I hope to get fiber, if Bell doesn't charge the earth, when they light up our fiber being installed all over the neighbourhood.

So, next time, I am downloading something free and legal, even Mr. Bell won't know about it.  :)

ps.  Whoops!  Socks5 does not provide end to end encryption, so Mr. Bell could still do a deep packet inspection.  However, it does scramble things for bittorrent traffic and is good enough for downloads.  Extremely fast and doesn't muck up all your Internet traffic.

pps.  Deluge encrypts, so it's all good.

Toronto goes so low on a contract that they scare the neighbours


This is very bad video because they were looking at me.  Anyway, the contractors were so low-bid that they had equipment they picked up from a war zone.  It belched smoke so thick that everybody thought the forest was burning and the fire department had to drive their truck down the little park road.

When I got back they were just standing around, wondering what to do.  Yeah for the lowest bid!  It ended up costing more.  :)  Lots of babies killed from the particulates.  :)

Bad show, Emma!

ps. no money left in the City after building the most expensive subway station in the world.  :)

The Markles bring cold air to Britain



I am such a child!  I love it when the nest of warmies in Britain get an Arctic blast.  Since their brains are cold now, it might take until Spring for them to realize that all climate is determined by the ocean currents.  The carbon does nothing.

The funny thing is that this weather is exactly the same as we are having in Toronto.  The British have lost the Gulf Stream, which is getting killed by cold Arctic water.  It's back to Jane Austin winters for them!  Right now there is still warm water in the Gulf of Mexico, and that's keeping Toronto warm.

I'd tell the new couple to come back to Toronto, but I think we are going to get the blasts soon.  The maps show the Gulf area is cooling rapidly.


Sunday, November 26, 2017

Linux - make sure of your cat6 cable

I have been using cat6 cable on all the new pulls of cable, but I didn't realize I had a section of cat5 cable from the second computer.  I thought it was slow, but I did an iperf test, and it showed the throughput was only 100 mbps.  I changed the cable and it's up to 1000.  Amazing.  This becomes important when you get a 4K tv.  Also, we are getting direct fiber soon, and everything should be up to the gigabit.

Friday, November 24, 2017

Purolator Ate My TV -- CANCELLED!

Poops.  I order a new tv and Amazon feels compelled to let Purolator have a few shipments.  Just my luck!  They got it  to the local depot and then lost it.  They have the worst tracking in the world.

So, back and forth, and P. is launching a big investigation.  It was probably stolen.  Because I was stupid enough to start the investigation, I have to wait for a week to see if they can get it back from the thieves.  I don't really want it now, but Amazon has to do this.  I asked if I could expel P. from my house, and they said no.

LIVE!  - they apparently randomly spread everything over 3 trucks.   Right now, a light fixture, that was with the shipment arrived.

LIVE!  The tv just showed up.  They have a separate heavy lift service.

Tuesday, November 21, 2017

Pacific heat going to it's minimum


I've watched this for years.  In the last (perhaps) 20 years, the West Pacific has been building up heat (energy) and letting it gush over the world.  We had wonderful summers and mild winters.

GET OVER IT!


This shows us the current currents.  All the north Pacific backwash is retreating.  Normally, the hot water goes west and there is a return current.  This is gone.  During the El Nino, all the water reversed alone the Equator and came at us.  It then dumped all the heat in West.

This is as solid as my dog running high speed and using your nuts as a brake.  Poor new boyfriend.    :)

Classical Winter for Canada

Reference

"Our winters aren't what they used to be. Oldtimers are right, winters really have changed," he said, adding that weather data reflects the trend. 



"It's almost as if global warming [and] climate change have kind of tempered the La Ninas and made them not as brutal as in the '50s, '60s, and '70s," he said. 

So here's the test, people.  My hypothesis, using physics, is that this will be a brutal winter, like the 70's.  The last bit of warming was a cycle, mixing in a huge El Nino.  My hypothesis bites the dust in the Spring if it is a so-so winter.  I will go back to the main physics and figure out what I did wrong.  On the other hand, the philosophy of warming is dead if the winter constantly stops all the cars in the driveway.  None of that constant running of excuses like that guy who predicts the end of the world every month.  If you say that a plunge down to the 70's is just a 'blip', then you are as hopeless as trumpypants.  :)

ps. get an extra battery for your garage.

pps.  this is a 'hypothesis' as defined by the Scientific Method, which almost gone from the world.

xpps. - I also found something else gone from the world - antique furniture.  We were talking to a refinisher and he said everybody was spray painting their antiques white. 

Saturday, November 18, 2017

Linux and the Cups Printing System

If there is one horrible thing about Linux it's the relationship with peripherals, such as printers.  All this is handled through Cups.  Although I am amazed at how many printers they can do, the whole thing regularly screws up.

So, if you want to go all Linux, get a generic Postscript network printer.  Those things always work.  I, however, have an old Phaser 6125n which is generally fantastic, and you can put in really cheap knock-off toner cartridges.  I'm sure that modern printers have all sorts of gimmicks that preserve their income from very expensive toner.

Nevertheless, this printer has a bizarre protocol, super secret, and there is only a 32 bit driver available.  Following my instructions that I laid out earlier, you can make it work, but it's horrible. 

Reading things for the last 10 years, I have found out that Cups regularly bombs out when it is upgraded.  That happened to me, and my printer didn't work with my main machine.  I tried endless things, but the main conclusion is that cups is busted in this version, but may work in the next. 

However, I kept the other machine at another release, and it still works.  You can use a shared printer and it works for all machines.  The lesson is to never upgrade all your machines at once.

Wednesday, November 15, 2017

Toronto Red Car Found

This is exciting.  As an early-morning dog walker in the Humber River park, I am expected to find criminal things, like dead bodies and such.  I never have.  However, there was a fatal stabbing up in Weston, and my dog buddy said they were looking for a red suv.



This is in a local park where the gate is locked every night and it was locked now.  It's funny that 10 dog walkers knew about the whole thing, but I was the first to phone it in.  They were convinced that the car was probably innocent.  :)  The girl at 911 had nothing on the stabbing or the car, and I had to insist this was really important.  As she said "We get stabbings all the time."  :)

ps.  Just before that, on a hill covered with wet leaves, a crazy high-speed bicyclist came up behind me and put on the brakes when the dog made a sudden move.  Naturally he skidded and jumped off the bike.  He road-raged us while I held my coyote stick parallel to the ground and prepared to have the dog attack (big chance!).  No injuries and he yelled at me "At least you could say you're sorry."  Sorry, but self-defence comes first.  :)

pps.  the guy was a big hockey coach and was stabbed at noon in the main street, and thereafter shortly died.  He probably tried to stop a fight.  Run away from those things!  Report it.  The got the name of the accomplice right away, probably from this car.

extra-ps.  this was a local car that got caught behind the gate.  The real red car was found somewhere else.  So, dog and I aren't heroes.  :(

Arctic ice volume now follows the normal curve


I thought this graph was dead because of a satellite malfunction, but it was just late.  Having made a very dramatic cut into the main curve, it is now following the trend.  Probably because of the warm air of Sept. and Oct.  I am expecting another cut against the trend in the next few months as we get horribly cold.

Right now in Toronto, we have middling temperatures for November, but cloudy and gloomy.  That's because we are getting some warmer air from the Gulf of Mexico.

Everybody around the Arctic is living with -25oC right now.


Later, it will be -40.

ps.  I really don't have anything yet to wave at the Climatics.  Darn.

Monday, November 13, 2017

Iran Earthquake - Standard Blind Thrust







In this neck of the woods, mountains are there for a reason.  It is a sign of compression.  It gets a lot worse up in the 'stan' countries.  So you have mountains and you have valleys.  The mountains are the footwalls of thrust faults, and the valleys are the chewed-up hanging walls.  It's the same geometry around Toronto.


This shows the pure thrust.  In the hanging wall (the valley) you would get very high ground motion as measured by peak ground velocity (PGV).  But I'm sure there aren't any instruments here.


You can see there is light reinforcement in the concrete columns and floor slabs.  This may have saved a lot of lives.  In the Armenia earthquake, no steel meant that everything went to powdered rubble.  However, the only way to really tell how well the buildings did is to get a reading of the PGV.  Without instruments, we learn nothing here.


Friday, November 10, 2017

Suggested Gifts for the Coming Cold Decade

Our ocean currents are going into a new cycle.  The old one led people to believe that we were warming and they made up that whole carbon dioxide thing.  These people will go on for another year, freezing to death and claiming it's 'only a blip'.

Cold Winter

Give your favourite warmie friend a nice scarf.  Buy a coffee roaster like I did and stay indoors.  Watch both interest rates and natural gas bills go up.  If you are giving the gift of a family vacation, pick a spot right on the Equator.

Cold Spring

We like the concept of poly-tunnels for the garden.  You can give your gardener a kit.

Cold Summer

This summer, all the rage will be full-length neoprene bathing suits.  You'll have extra money for gifts because air conditioning costs will be down.

Cold Fall

Sweaters, sweaters, sweaters.

ps.  I was so dang cold this morning with what I thought was my best stuff, that I immediately ordered a heavy parka from ammie.

Our Coming Winter


This is what happens when we have run out of heat from both the Atlantic and Pacific equatorial belts.  The chart shows wet air which has 10 times the heat energy of clear dry air.  We are now entirely naked to the cold polar winds.

The next global temperature chart is going to show a big drop.  All happy thoughts of living in a global warming sauna should be erased from your mind.  This is the Revenge of Physics.  The hammer always drops on your toe despite many wonderful arguments against it.  :)

Wednesday, November 8, 2017

Toronto housing listings zoom up



A very confused chart.  As around our place, lots of places for sale, but no sales.  As I predicted, the slight uptick in prices caused a huge entry into the market.  If you take the average price and multiply by sales you can see there is no money in the market.  In the next month or two, the forced sales will drive down the price.  Condos have a little tick up, but not much.  They probably also have a big rise in listings.  Condos will also drop with forced sales as everybody will be caught with two houses.

ps.  I predicted all this last November when the Chinese hot money died.  However, I thought it would have unfolded a bit faster.  It will really dive now because of the Paradise Papers and such which will cause more hot money to withdraw.

Tuesday, November 7, 2017

Natural gas price shoots up - too late for Oklahoma earthquakes


They have finally realized that global warming is dead.  We are going to freeze!  All part of a natural cycle that follows binomial theorem.  This is too late to activate OK earthquakes, since all the fresh water is going to freeze solid in the next few days.

Thus, ends the earthquake season.  I was hoping for a big trumpy earthquake, but that will have to wait until the Spring.  They'll have used up all the gas in storage, and Canadians will be pumping it to them at tremendous prices.  Yeah Canada!  Everybody and their dog will start gas fracking in the Spring and it will all go to OK.

ps.  during the Earthquake Season, there is a near-perfect correlation between this chart and OK earthquake activity.  At least a lot better than that *other* correlation. 

Monday, November 6, 2017

Etobicoke Leaf Pick-Up


Oh, we in Etobicoke are so lucky!  We're the only place in Toronto to get curb-side leaf pick-up because of our very heavy leaf load.  You can see the leaf pickup going by.  They used to have a huge truck and about 8 men.  Now it's a pickup and one guy.

How is this cost saving possible?  By doing the leaf pick-up before the leaves have fallen.  THIS IS NOT FAKE NEWS!

Our civic leaders have stashed all their money in the Cayman Islands with the Queen.  It's actually a big truck and 8 guys on the invoice.  :)  Just kidding!  Nobody is corrupt in Ontario.  However, I have always found that being corrupt or being stupid is the same thing.

ps.  Dec 1, they did come back with a real crew.  Every year it's the same, they come too early, and swear they'll never come back.  Everybody ignores them, puts the leaves illegally on the street, and they come back.

Modern technology destroys the workplace

Reference



Not really, but it has destroyed the 'old' workplace.  I started corporate work just before the desktop computer came in in 1980.  We communicated by handwritten multi-part memos.  It took days to get and respond to internal mail.  Plenty of time for thinking.  We built magnificent things.

In came MS email.  It evolved to the point where you had to make an instant response.  No time for thinking or being honest.  Soon, the weasels rose to the top, those who had the talent to make an instant response credible, even though it was pure BS (mini-trumpies).

Now they got this 'total monitoring'.  Overbearing micromanagers will love it.  No need for thinking at all, just appear busy.  No hierarchical company or government will be able to do anything.

On another note, the old world order of massive corruption in the higher ranks is unravelling as all this shady stuff is now done by computer.  A tiny hack or underpaid (and over-monitored) employee and it is all out.  I am sure that there is general peace in the world by having every leader squirrel away lots of money.  :)

ps.  the first thing any bright employee does is hack the internal system to get Internet.  Then they soon leave.

Sunday, November 5, 2017

No more satellite ice volume graphs

Reference

The darn satellite blew up, just before it could vindicate trumpy on carbon dioxide.  Talk about foot shooting!  I was expecting a good volume increase as we enter our cold decade.  If they keep on going like this, we won't even know it's getting cold.  We'll just be frozen lumps on the ice.


Friday, November 3, 2017

Global warming reduces ozone hole

Reference



In my wildest dreams I had hoped that trumpy would revive atmospheric physics.  It's been dead since the 80's when it went against the mainstream of ozone holes and carbon dioxide.

So, we get these articles, all very nice stories designed to get money from the public.  The physics tells us that the bromine, chlorine reaction does not exist.  Also they never include fluorine in their stories because the new coolants are all fluorine based.

The only thing that increases an ozone hole is a vicious polar vortex, bringing temperatures and pressures down in the middle.  We'll get lots of these in the next decade, so be prepared for a big hoo-ha.  :)


Thursday, November 2, 2017

Big spike in October global temperatures


All my warmie buddies are going to laugh at me now.  They like this graph when it goes up, and not when it goes down.  October and September were warm because of some weird El Nino rebound in the Atlantic.  Basically, there is no more Pacific heat, and Siberian air has flooded down on us.  However, in the Fall, it acted as a giant shovel pushing up all the Atlantic heat into the stratosphere.  That dumped all the heat at once, and we had huge hurricanes, which are giant heat volcanoes. 

Lucky for us, the Toronto temperatures reflect this curve exactly because we are in the 'physics middle' of everything.  My prediction juices have gone sour, but from what I'm seeing of our weather, we can expect this curve to drop.

The darn Arctic ice volume chart is late again.  I'm expecting it to go up, but maybe not.


Oklahoma earthquakes - large energy release




Nothing has been more boring for me than the OK earthquake situation.  The price of natgas is the lowest ever.  That means no frack waste for most of the summer.  However, the price of oil is zooming and that means a lot of Texas Permian frack waste.  Normally, OK shuts down for the winter freeze-up with natgas.  That's because it's all coming from the mountains in the NE.  The oil waste this year may extend the season.

Right now there has been a huge energy release in one spot, starting with an m5 and lots of m4's.  I only do single digits with magnitudes and I'm usually one up on the official numbers because I take the worst value of peak ground velocity in the direction that the fault is pumping.  When there is a big shallow thrust, that will be the important number.

I haven't seen such activity at one spot before.  Normally, there are only a few aftershocks.  Who knows what this means?

ps.  Another m4 just popped out.  If they could keep this up, then it would be the highest rate ever, but it will probably settle down.  blah.

Tuesday, October 31, 2017

Landed.com expands house ownership program

Reference

This is my son's Palo Alto start-up, going into the ballistic phase.  You have to ride the exponential with these things, or you die.

It's funny that all the Guardian readers think Palo Alto is evil, throwing everybody out of work, and getting trumpy elected.  While that's true, it's possible to use this technology for a social good.  Landed is reducing the 'friction' between huge foundations, and legitimate people.  This is quite amazing since a huge amount of charity may be distributed inefficiently.  It's quite difficult to dribble out billions in a meaningful manner.

This company could never have started in Toronto, New York, or London.  No social good comes out of those places.  All the money is tied up by the sons of rich men and they just waste it on housing bubbles and such.

ps.  the whole thing can't work in Canada because the constraint is monthly payments.  In the US, the mortgage payment is a full write-off.  So the down payment is the constraint.

Monday, October 30, 2017

Arctic storm smashes Europe

My prediction of a nasty winter is finally coming in.  I was quite amazed that the cold air brought out Atlantic hurricanes which warmed everything up in October.  Normally, the Atlantic heat lasts longer but it all went in one big glob.  Now you can see that everything is just spinning.  No heat is going to Europe.

During the summer, this spinning brought up African heat.  That gave them a very hot summer, and further support that the Earth is melting.  In a few days, we'll see the Arctic ice plot, and it will be quite an increase in ice volume.  No heat has gone over the Arctic in the past few months.


Friday, October 27, 2017

Bottom drops out of natural gas


I just follow this because it correlates with Oklahoma earthquakes.  No more earthquakes for this year.  I just can't believe this.  However, a very cold winter has two effects: freezing up new gas fracking for longer, and using up the supplies.  Since I expect a cold winter, we'll see the prices and the earthquakes back up in the Spring.

Tuesday, October 24, 2017

Hydroponics Part 2

It's all done and working.


Siberian air coming down again

This is very interesting.  NOAA, that champion of radiation heat loss, is predicting a mild winter for us.  I, on the other hand, champion of clear air convection, am predicting a very cold winter.  I was poleaxed for a while this Fall, with the unusual dumping of Atlantic heat, but that has run out.

Basically, all our moist air, with the highest heat energy, comes from either the Pacific or Atlantic belts of very warm water.  The Pacific is dead for now, and the Atlantic dumps everything every year in the form of hurricanes.  The Pacific dumps heat mostly through major ocean currents, and El Nino is a massive heat loss.

So, the physics leads one to the conclusion that there is no heat for us.  This is probably a decade of cold, like the 70's.  Expect frozen pipes for the next few years, as the Pacific heat builds up again.

Satellite picture of moist air


This is the pattern we had for our whole miserable summer.  In the Fall we had a lot of warm air coming up from the Atlantic, as well as a bit of straight Western air.  I loved the 70's cold when I was young.  I went up winter camping a lot and it was always 40 below up near Huntsville.  Hasn't been like that since.


Sunday, October 22, 2017

Tech wealth through immigration

Reference

The poor British.  No hope to get their children on tech.  In Canada, it's always the children of immigrants who bring in the big bucks on pure tech or science.  For some reason, well established children just accept the tech around them and become bankers or lawyers.  I wish I could come up with the fundamental force here (physics), but I can't.

It's bit like the wealth rule:  man becomes wealthy from nothing.  His kids grew up poor, and continue the empire.  Their kids just piss it all down the drain.  An entire country like Japan can become locked in this cycle.  A lot of immigration is the only way to break it.

Now, Britain will brexitize and become locked in.  Too bad.

Friday, October 20, 2017

Linux - Cheap starlight surveillance camera working perfectly


I now have the camera working with Zoneminder.  I am extremely happy with it, since it is a very economical setup.  I had to use the powered ethernet right into the house for a proper bandwidth.  It's such a fun thing to watch in the morning, and you can zoom through quite fast.  The raccoon went by a couple of times.  I can't wait to catch the coyotes after the raccoon.  When those big monsters wander by, I'll finally have something.  :)

This is a starlight camera, so you can see that it's very dark out, but you have a good picture.  I got the high resolution model, and it comes down at 25 fps.  When the next Mafia lord gets wasted, I'll have a fuzzy picture of the car.


Wednesday, October 18, 2017

Getting Ready for Canadabis Day -- Part 1

Next year, on July 1, what are you going to have in your hands?  Well, if you don't start now, it will be a pathetic beer.  This series is about me getting my hydroponic system going again.  This year, I'll just be growing microgreens, like beans and sunflowers.  I'm publishing to the world, and that's all I'm going to say.  On the Big Day, I'll be able to say more.

Official Word:  Every one of my attempts to grow canadabis has ended in failure.


This is my podcast, on video now.  :)



ps.  Actually, I can't imagine continuing the series.  The friends up the road, who were hard-core thc users, like the 50-50 blend, but nobody else I know wants to try anything.  Canada could take over the world next year, but I don't think anybody is that enthusiastic.  :)

Tuesday, October 17, 2017

Linux - fun with drivers

I have one machine that always has the latest -- 'testing' from Debian, and modern kernels.  It always blows up, but I can't live without being on the edge.  :)  So, this machine decided to stop printing on my very old laser printer that only has a 32 bit driver.  No prob, I'll just reinstall.

Little did I know that it decided to mix up my drive order 'sda, sdb, and sdc'.  So when I was formatting the usb install disk, I formatted my other hard drive.  All my media stuff gone! 

To top that, I had tons of trouble this time reinstalling, and still the printer didn't work.  Poops!  But I learned a lot of stuff I didn't really want to learn.  The guts of these computers are amazing.... blah.

My favourite old company in the news

Reference

Good old Hydro, can't estimate themselves out of a paper bag.  Although this article makes the contractors look good, they are as thick as a board.  I truly think they can't do this whole refurb thing.  When I was involved I kept warning them that the physics was wrong. 

You can get away with bad physics if you are pushing a grand political movement like warming, but you can't build a nuclear plant.  At the beginning, we had people who understood this.  Now, everybody is a politician.  Normally, they could actually do it at 10 times the cost, but I think this is hopeless.  Have fun, people!


Friday, October 13, 2017

Oklahoma earthquakes, last chance before freeze-up

There is a perfect correlation between natgas futures and OK earthquakes.  This ends during freeze-up which is from January to May.  The physics that drives this, is the fact that they decide whether to frack another well, based on the 3 month futures.  All that frack water gets injected in OK.



We're starting to see more m4's, which they call m3's.  Had we maintained the Spring rates of earthquakes and natgas fracking, we would have had some m6's by now.  I don't know whether this surge can do it.  Trumpie will probably say something, and the price goes down.  :)

I really wanted a big trumpy earthquake, but the US has had enough disasters for now.  Maybe next year, if he doesn't get booted out by then.  :)

NASA finally confirms that 2016 El Nino was the biggest ever

Reference

It did quite a number to the planet.  But the warmies were saying it wasn't so big.



This satellite measures real-time carbon dioxide.  It's interesting, but co2 is only important if you believe that clear air convection doesn't exist.  The downside of the biggest El Nino ever is the same as the downside of the Toronto housing bubble  -- there is a crash.  Get your furnace tuned up.

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Linux - Programming the Logitech Harmony 650 Universal Remote

This remote is really cheap, and does everything you want.  I have 3 devices I need to control, and it does up to 6.  As usual, it only offers Windows programs to fix it up.  However, I found that you can use Virtualbox to do everything.  Just download one of those free MS virtual machines, I used my favourite ie11 and win 8.1. 

VB is a bit miserable to get the usb working.  Add your user to the group vboxusers, and make sure there is an empty line at the end of /etc/group.  You then have access to the remote when you plug it in the usb. 

It was great for the established brands, but my no-name super cheap Android tv box had problems.  Just pick OTT tv box, mxq pro, and 'learn' the commands from your dedicated remote.  The whole thing was an afternoon, but now everything works. 


Thursday, October 5, 2017

Toronto Housing, Global Temperature, Arctic Ice Volume charts

These are the monthly charts that I wait for and publish.  First, the surprising one.


Our lovely warm September has actually shown up in the global chart.  This was a huge event, then, with all those hurricanes pumping up the heat from the Atlantic belt.  Problem is, that this is like one tenth of the Pacific heat, so next month might fall more.  Monster hurricanes are 'heat volcanoes' where they practically boil the ocean with extremely low pressure in the eye.  The Atlantic always dumps all its heat with hurricanes before every winter.  The Pacific stores for its El Nino cycle.

But the Arctic ice volume knows this is a short-term event.  It has plunged into the main record, the biggest come-back ever. 


Finally, we show the Toronto housing charts.  EVERYBODY BUY, IT'S GOING UP!



This is a happy chart, and I'm not going to be gloomy.  It has nothing to do with the fact that everybody took away listings last month.  Now, everybody will flood with listings. 


Monday, October 2, 2017

Cottage Report

I have a crazy Turkish guy who checks my site every 5 minutes to see if I wrote anything.  Maybe it's link spam, who knows?  I am enjoying the last two days of staining before the freeze-up.  We'll close on the long weekend.  This is going to be a real winter.  All my warmie friends will be shocked.  I finally found some real physics that shows convection transfers heat energy at 5 times the rate of radiation.  Those pathetic warmies.

OK earthquakes are going at about a 5 per week.  This will give the trumpies another disaster.



Friday, September 29, 2017

Cleared out G+

I write a lot, and I've cleared out all my g+ stuff.  My followers are now back to zero.  The blog will always exist, for people to go back to check my predictions.  Right now, I can't see any reason to write.  In about a year check the following:

Toronto housing will have gone down more than 30%.  The condo cartel will be broken and rents will be down 30%.  The general Toronto economy will have taken a hit, so people won't be happy that they can buy houses again.

Global temperatures will have fallen through any band the warmies projected.  Bad physics always strikes back.

The cold will raise natgas prices, bringing back Oklahoma earthquakes.

The polar vortex (both poles) will bring back the crazy ozoners.

Ditching global warming, the nuts will go after plastics in the ocean.

Not any great happiness in these hypotheses.  I'm tired of being the gloomy gus.




Wednesday, September 27, 2017

The Physics of Global Warming

Reference

I am so happy that my warmie friends at the Guardian have shown me the physical basis for the whole warming projection.  Remember that the charts don't need physics, but the projection does.

I can't cut and paste from this drm article, and the Gurd doesn't allow graphics, so I am putting this up.

First, they model the atmosphere as a series of layers.



Nobody at the gard can see a problem with this, nor anybody at nasa.  Then they go into wonderful statements like



Nobody can see anything wrong with this.  "Carbon dioxide is just planetary insulation".  I take it that this article was never disputed.  Now I am content, because I can never explain basic physics to the people who believe this.  I can no longer say that global warming has no physics.

**where there is convection it is orders of magnitude more effective with heat transport.  (disputed).

ps.  I withdrew my 'Snowball Earth" hypothesis  from the gard.  I said it was made for an alternate universe where convection is a nuclear bomb next to the firecracker of radiation.  :)

pps. with this I have the intention to stop the blog again.  My hopeless addiction to venting may send me home from rehab again.  :(

Linux - full recipe for doing your own surveillance cameras

Linux is left out of a lot of this camera stuff.  But really, if you are concerned about security, then you better run Linux.  I can imagine people running security cameras with unpatched windows.  :)

It all starts here with your choice of camera.



You want a 'starlight' ip camera, using power over ethernet (poe).  That's the easiest to install in any house.  You do not want a wifi camera with Chinese software.  And, anyway, you always have to take care of the power.  You need a hundred feet of cat5e cable (the cheapest) and a simple poe injector.  That takes extra power from the outlet and injects it into the cable.  You can run a hundred feet with it.

Once you get the camera, it is filled with glorious software obtained from somewhere, and you can never update it.  Who cares?  These things are disposable in a few years.  The software is a nightmare to deal with on Linux, but I found the easy way.

Just install Virtualbox on your machine.  It comes from scummyoracle but it works.  Then get an 'appliance' from msoft that does win8.1 and ie11.  You can purge that later... yuck!  The horrible thing doesn't connect to the network, and it took me hours to find the simple fix.


'Nat' is their code-name for network, it doesn't really matter about the adaptor, but make sure all the boxes are checked.

The camera uses dhcp to connect to your router, and you have to find it.  Then turn off every speck of security on ie11 and connect.  You'll have to download a plugin, and just say yeah, yeah.

Then just change to a static ip, and forget everything else.

Then fire up a onvif device tool and you'll see the camera.  It gives a 'Live Video' url, and you're golden.  My tool always seg faulted when trying to access network options, so I can't skip the ie part right now.  Maybe you'll have better luck.

Then just use any Linux tool you want.  Check it with vlc.  I'm using Zoneminder right now.  That's another few hours, but I leave that to you.  :)



Monday, September 25, 2017

Linux - success with Chinese vidcam

Yahoo!  I downloaded the Microsoft virtual machine, using win 8.1 and ie11 and was able to get full access.  I now have to set it to full streaming for Linux.  These machines are only good for 90 days, so I hope I don't need it any more.

ps.  you have to slide the security bars down to nothing.  Don't use it for webbing.

pps.  total success with onvif-device-tool

http://www.lingodigit.com/onvif_nvc.html

It gave me the full url for streaming which cannot be found anywhere else.

Saturday, September 23, 2017

Cottage Report

Late September and we have a heat wave.  Super hot at the cottage, and I've been floating on the water.  This hasn't happened all summer.  At least the water is cold, so you can jump in when you are dying from the heat.

Finished a lot of staining, and the weather breaks Tuesday, so I won't come back alone with the dog.  Maybe next week.  This is air straight from the Atlantic equatorial belt and it's wonderful.  The cold will hit us with a vengeance soon.

Sun - super hot.  I'm in the water longer this weekend than all of the summer, and maybe last summer.

Friday, September 22, 2017

Linux - Dealing with a cheap Chinese vidcam

My latest project is putting a vidcam on the house, but it has to be a low-lux starlight cam.  And it has to be all Linux.  The only way I could afford it was to buy an ipcam direct from China.  It's a great cam, but the software is all win.  In fact, it's more tailored to whatever is the predominant stolen versions in China, since nobody would be insane enough to actually buy the real thing.

Thus, the only interface is port 80, or a web interface that is so bizarre as to be tailored to one specific version of win, and one version of ie.  And they don't tell you what it is.  Really, you should know, sort of like NL signs.

This has gotten me into all sorts of emulations for Linux.  At the end, I have found that MS provides an infinite number of variations for ie and win on Virtualbox.  That's amazing!  They have to do it because ms is non-existent on the big servers, and they want to make sure that any weird combination works on banking sites.  Oh, how the mighty have fallen.

I am now working my way through all of them, until I find the right one.  Blah.

Stand-up now has more social influence than Fussbook

It's amazing how late-night comedy has become a serious political force.  I propose a good routine for these guys, they can steal it from me.

"The problem with accusing people of lying is that there no scale.  Social white lies are equated with huge horrible frauds.  I propose an earthquake magnitude scale for lies.

Magnitude 1 - In the car, "The dog did it."

Magnitude 2 - I don't know how that email got erased.

M3 - lies of innocence - "I never had sex with that woman."

and so on.

M8 - Russians:  "We never had anything to do with the election."

M9 - "I never had anything to do with the Russians."

More wonderful air gyres

The warmies are getting extreme, calling for everybody to be shot.  All that lead flying around will be a pollutant.  :)

Global air temperatures are dropping like the Toronto housing market.  I mentioned this in a comment and they all go on about how a 30 year average is better than a 1 year moving average.  I mentioned that in order to say this, you are making assumptions about the physics, ie, there is a 'memory' or momentum going beyond 1 year.  But no, these people just look at charts.

Right now most people are enjoying a warm September.  There are huge air gyres (slower than a vortex) that are sucking up the last warmth from the Atlantic belt.  The Arctic vortex, however, is strong, and will show a good build-up of ice volume.


ps.  having lots of fun on the Guardian.  I am casting a hypothesis, like I did for the Toronto housing market.  By this time next year, global temperatures will have fallen out of all warmie noise bands, and ice volume will have zoomed.

And yet, the warmies will not cry 'uncle', just like the ozoners never did.  That's because there are no noise (error) bands, and they'll just say that the oceans sucked up all the heat like a vacuum cleaner.  :)

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Ozone hole thing will come back to annoy us

Reference

Now that the Atlantic belt is giving up its last bit of heat energy, the Arctic is going to get really cold with a heck of a vortex.  This gives us big ozone holes.  Ozoners are a fun lot, they mention huge convection that brings minor chemicals up into the stratosphere, but it doesn't bring any heat energy.

So you can have wild convection, and eat your greenhouse gases, too.  This gives me a physics headache.  :)  Say no more.

**physics experiments show no such chlorine-dumping reactions at vortex temps.

***convection is caused by heat energy, amazingly enough.

Monday, September 18, 2017

Linux -- Epson all-in-one WF-4740

Somehow I got hold a big epson thing for free, and for review.  You can print on it, but you can't network scan it.  Or least I can't after a lot of trying.

Also, this thing showed a 'scanner error' that was only fixed by bashing it around a little.  I would never get a scanner and printer together.  Get a separate scanner, and a laser printer.

ps. I did get one response that called me a moron.  I appreciate all responses.  :)

Atmosphere is a giant field of vortices

I'm quite impressed.  I've never seen anything like this, but we haven't really been able to see this sort of picture in the past.  This is pure physics.



This comes from the collapse of El Nino and the influx of cold air.  I wonder how long it will go on.

Sunday, September 17, 2017

Natgas up, global temps down, Toronto housing gives up on listings

This months graphs are interesting.

First, natgas is up, and they are fracking like mad before freeze-up.  OK just had an m4+.



The global temps are fuzzy but still going down after the monster El Nino.

Finally, Toronto housing prices are still diving, but the listings are going down as people temporarily give up on the low prices.  At some point there will be more forced listings.  Lots of people have walked away in our neighbourhood.  This will soon become a landslide.


We are currently enjoying nice warmth since the two hurricanes have joined to make a giant vortex over Greenland.  Almost all the heat has been sucked out of the Atlantic belt, which is many times smaller than the Pacific.  Cold will come soon.

ps. forgot to add Arctic ice volume.



This guy can't contain his glee.

It seems my prayers from May have been heard:
There's nothing else to do but hope that PIOMAS has it completely wrong, or else pray for lots of cold and cloudy weather in the Arctic this summer.

blah, the Russians won't be happy with their freighter-icebreakers.

pps.  they are now shooting Toronto real-estate agents.

Saturday, September 16, 2017

Don't bother with a certain company's rebates

Can't mention the name because it will be searched.  I tried to use the web service.  First it was denied because they hadn't put the current offer on.  Now it's denied with a meaningless explanation, so it's useless to do it again.  I find that these big companies really don't know how to do the web.  That's why ammie will rule the world.  They suck in all the good programmers and pay them a lot.