Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Toronto Housing -- The Listing Panic is Here

Reference

I saw this happening in the middle of November, when the bottom fell out of the extremely frothy Unionville market.  Then we went through our 6 months of a listing strike.  Now we come to the fact that most people can't hold out any more.  Walk away from your deposits, people.  Don't be caught holding lots of houses.

Everybody and their dog in Toronto has two houses, one they are holding on to, and the other being built and just coming on-stream.  All those giant condo buildings going up in the middle of nowhere have deposits.  For 10 years or more, it was the key to riches.  Everybody in those outer tract lands played the game of buying early in a new subdivision and then selling the old one for a big profit.

Now these people must dump.  The prices will be determined by the most desperate.  A divorce?  Death, whatever.  All the banks have designed this boom expecting a 20% drop.  Ha!  These things are never what you expect.  We have binomial theorem working here, and it isn't kind.

“It’s fear,” Century 21’s Evans said. “It’s another contributing factor to the fear of ‘what’s going to happen?”’

Monday, May 22, 2017

Where there is no law, everything goes

Reference



A totally lawless area is unstable.  There is no limit to depravity, and the most violent people get the power.  Soon everybody is killing each other, and they starve.  The same thing has happened with science.  The law used to be the 'Scientific Method', and all scientific discussions were carried out under that law.

The law evolved during the great flowering of the Reformation, or Renaissance.  Before that, we just had the scientific 'law' of the Ancient Greeks, which was no law at all.  They just made up 'just so' stories and shouted everybody down defending it.  It gave us the Dark Ages.

Right now we can blame Facebook for everything.  :)  The old Internet forums usually had a couple of cranky people who could slam down anybody for breaking the law of the Scientific Method (SM).  Now, all the scientists are confined behind their PR department walls and cannot enter any discussion without approval.

But even if scientists make official pronouncements to official news sources, we can no longer believe them.  They are all driven by 'other considerations' such as government funding, or student attendance.  With Facebook, SM broke down when the Aristotolians seized control of global warming.  If anybody raised objections about the physics they would engage in a massive social media campaign to get those people fired.  And every scientist works for a place that is sensitive to public pressure.

So, now we are lawless.  This will progress to utter chaos, and when it gets really stupid, and people are killed in large numbers, then we'll see a change.  For now, enjoy the ride.  :)

ps.  it started with the Bible Belt, and that is no longer an important part of Willful Ignorance.  FB Science is now the dominant trend.  Everybody wants to give up thinking.  With companies, it makes you immune from the Law, and you can survive as long as you have a monopoly.  However, this always ends in tears.

Kansas earthquakes maintain Azle-type progression



I am very impressed with the Kansas earthquakes.  They are progressing rapidly, with the latest recorded as an m5 in many places.  I expect an M6 next week.  You can see there is massive freshwater injection at the NW tip and the earthquakes are running down the cross-fault to the megathrusts.  As with Azle, Texas, the earthquakes will go down the line and get bigger and bigger.  The location is only the epicentre, which is the initial point of the rupture.  However, you can be sure that the ruptures run back to the source.  This can only be measured with strong-motion accelerometers.

In Texas, they engaged their great conspiracy and quietly dropped the freshwater injection.  They couldn't tell anybody because that would trigger lawsuits.  It is best to handle all this verbally, and then 'forget' everything.  The 'Stupidity Defence' works every time!

I am amazed at how far this is going.  I suppose that nobody lives there and the directivity is going back to the upper state, where nobody lives, as well.  The next m6 might change opinions.


Friday, May 19, 2017

Landowners seize Chapman Valley Park

On a day that will live in infamy, the greedy landowners have seized a popular ravine walking trail.  This is an incitement to violence that never exists in Canada.  We believe in peace, order and good government.



This is our fine park.  And this is what they have done with it.




Note that people are starting to get violent with the sign.  Thousands of people are blocked.  That is, if they don't know that in Canada these signs are worthless.  Trespassing cannot be enforced, except in civil court and that never works.  Sure, people lurking around your house are in trouble with the police, but the police aren't coming for this.

Old Rob would never have stood for this.  He would have ranted and raved at the sign, and then tumbled into the creek for posterity.  Here is the location.


So, for the upcoming Annual Rob Ford Day, I invite everybody to come and lay flowers at the sign, in memory of a great walking trail.  Park on the streets, the landowners will love it.  Add some original art to the sign if you want.  Free Beer!  Loud Music!


**for the last little bit, we are counting on TheRob to descend and distribute.  :)

*** or ascend, whatever.

Thursday, May 18, 2017

Tesla -- When the rubber hits the road

Reference

Workers have a rough time in California, and the new economy has not been kind to them.  Callie is an 'at will' state, with no maternity benefits, so companies can do anything they want.  The rich cities such as Palo Alto do things to keep workers out.  I know a person doing the major Google construction and they are severely limited in how much they can build because they can't get workers.  There's no place to live!

In the rich city it's all small cottages, and no new high density is allowed.  Over the road in East Palo Alto they haul out the bodies every morning.  This is where the 'Palo Alto Method' gets into trouble.  Musk can design till the cows come home, but he wants to get into the 'mucky' stuff.

Tuesday, May 16, 2017

New ransomware goes up the Microsoft chain - Fake News!

My adopted 'old man' just had his computer hosed.  He didn't click on anything recently.  No backups.  I've always wanted him to get a Chromebook.  Anyway, it was win10 with automatic updates.  The most common system in the world.  I'm off to restore it, but it was supposedly fully protected, and I'm sure it will get it again.

ps.  cbc just asked my what ransomware it was.  I'm going over there this afternoon, and I'll take a picture of the screen.

pps.  CANCEL EVERYTHING!   This was just an ms-money thing.  ms changed something and it couldn't find the main file.  It spewed out obscure pages that looked like ransomware.  It litters his desktop with countless phoney backup icons.  It took me a long time to find where they hid his file.

ppps.  and I just found that ms-money is done and gone.

New Madrid Fault Zone extends to the North



The great thing about the Oklahoma seismic zone is its ability to get everything else excited.  This is an M4+ earthquake, with an intensity of 5.  Right now, it's officially an m3.2 but it was recorded as a 4 in many places.  That means it had a strong directivity and it shows the classical felt area of a thrust fault.



I've always said the existing NMFZ was dead in the old place.  It has to extend or shift to become a threat again, and Oklahoma is kicking it.  It can go up the river, which is controlled by the megathrust fractured zone.

Of course, if the trumpy oil companies released their seismic survey data, we'd all see this.  :(

ps.  followed by a deep m4 in OK.  The whole thing is now at my expected level, post trumpy.  I'm expecting a higher seismic energy rate next month.   ... and another m4 bites the dust.

Sunday, May 14, 2017

Cottage Report - late May 2017

Toronto missed the great rain, but cottage country got the full blast of maybe 5 inches.  Everything is full up.


We had sun on Sunday, and put everything out to air.  You can see the lake is a foot above anything I've ever seen.  Boat houses at the marina got smashed because the water was going up and down like a toilet, to stop downstream flooding.

The blackflies are just starting.  They really came out in force on Sunday, when it got too warm to work and wear nets.  This was our summer opening since we'll be busy the long weekend.

The big news was the flooding along the highway.  We got out at Burleigh Falls on the way back and took these videos.


That's the highway bridge.  And the dam is flooded.


Neato.

ps.  Wednesday is supposed to be sunny and 30.  You don't want to be at the cottage with full blackflies and the water cold as ice.  Pure hell.

Tuesday, May 9, 2017

Oklahoma earthquakes coming back

Ever since the Easter injection break, all the earthquakes in OK just stopped.  I was really worried that they listened to me and started treating the water.  But today I knew they didn't.  Look who they elected president!


This is a shallow thrust with an intensity of 6.  May have knocked something down.  The surrounding seismometers went as high as 4.5 so I'm calling one of my weekly 5's.  It's officially an m4, rounded to single digits.

We should be getting back to one of these a week, and a 6 every couple of months.  That was the rate before Easter, and I'm expecting it to continue.


The Salvation of Old People

Reference



So, when it comes out next year, all old people, like me, should buy some dried tops.  Make sure it is a strain of 50/50 thc, cbd.  In fact, get it right now by screaming to your doctor, or any doctor.  :)

Heat it in olive oil, just below the smoke temperature.  Get a candy thermometer.  I should have got one for the last batch.  It's horrible if you overheat.  Keep it at that temperature for 45 minutes.  Then store it in the fridge, goes semi-solid.  Take a daily dose, just below feeling anything.  You may have to experiment on that.

This is now available for any old person in Canada.  Prevents alzies.  Go for it!

ps.  you have to do this yourself, since edibles won't be available for 2 years.

pps.  I'm getting my adopted old guy to get a prescription from a geriatric specialist.  We'll see if that works, and then we'll do oil.  I find that a small daily dose gives a wonderful clarity of mind.  Normally, I am so distracted, it's great to be right in the 'zone' of the moment.

Monday, May 8, 2017

Geotechnical nightmares come home to roost

I had two down by the river.  The sewer project is now pushing pipe 6 months late.  But this erosion project has many of my videos.  The upper slopes are finally failing and Toronto missed the heaviest rain.  The whole thing is going to go if we actually have a real 4 incher rain.

In morning I'm always shooting into the sun.  The next failures will be more photogenic.  :)





Sophisticated Video Review

I'm a Vine reviewer for Amazon.  That means I get small stuff for free and then I write a review.  However, I was in the Top 500 and now I've been bumped down to Top 1000.  Soon I'll drop off the cliff!  So much pressure!  I'm now going into video reviews with my dog, and this is my first one.




I must get back on top!

Sunday, May 7, 2017

Neat earthquake video

Reference

This is really good physics, something I don't expect from 'official' earthquake people.  The video shows ground velocity which has a direct connection with damage.  You can see the directivity of the giant thrust fault, and although it progresses up the line, it is not a strike-slip fault.  A video like this is another nail in the coffin for ground acceleration.  But not this day.  :)  Engineers make good money going with acceleration, and the geologists make good money going with strike-slip faults and the hoary old 'elastic rebound theory'.




Seizing an Issue

Reference




The new method of science is to seize an issue and then fight off any comers, like a game of 'King of the Castle'.  I had a lot of fun with that as a kid, especially on giant snow piles.  

The concept that seismic surveys do damage to marine animals is demolished if you look at it with the Scientific Method.  However, it is a great issue for 'Aristotle Science'.  As with gorming, you merely plant your flag in the public's eye, and state "Prove that it doesn't!".  It also works with alien kidnapping.

Oil companies would be better off if they went pro-active, and released all these records in a slightly smudged version, good enough for tectonic studies.  They really need to do this in Oklahoma.  However, as long as they appear 'sinister', the greenies will go after them.


Friday, May 5, 2017

The Physics of Elon Musk

He went through Queen's Commerce with my nephew, so I feel I can comment.  All of his successes have come from the 'Palo Alto' technique.  That means, realize that some people are 10 times more productive than the bunch and pay them accordingly.  No company east of there does that.

Now, for design and software, that works really well.  But other things come against basic physics.


Mr. Musk must realize a productivity improvement by a factor of 10 if he doesn't want to be 'bored' with the whole thing.  He can't get that with actually digging the tunnels.  It costs so much to excavate a cubic meter of soil and that's that.  In past 30 years, giant digging machines have improved things maybe a factor of two, but they always get stuck.  We are now flatlining the economics.

While I'm writing this, I'm thinking he can get a factor of 10 in operating the tunnels, by using a giant packet routing system, but first you have to dig.  And go through a zillion faults in LA.  Good luck in getting the busgus to admit that they don't mean anything - their lives are on the line.  :)


El Nino over, Arctic ice starts climb again

Yeah, as a Canadian I love Arctic ice.  Give me more and more!  In fact, why not extend it all the way to my cottage?  /\  (mountain of sarcasm).

During an El Nino, an enormous amount of heat energy goes into the Arctic, and blasts out into space.  That's my nice summer, we're talking about here!  It's not surprising that ice volume takes a hit (too bad!).



So, in May, the very bottom curve shoots straight into the bulk of the graph, when it should be shooting down like all the other years.  Yech!



Look what the stinkin' El Nino did to the ice volume.  Last year, the lowest winter rise ever, following a huge drop.  This confirms we had the biggest elni ever.  None of the warmists want to mention that.  If my summer is miserable, then we'll see the biggest rise ever, as we grapple with the loss of heat energy.

Since the warmists have ditched the Scientific Method and have gone back to Aristotle, there is nothing that can 'invalidate' their changing philosophy.  Years ago, hard-core scientists would have derided them for the lack of a mechanism, but they are all dead.  The next few years will be darn cold, and I wonder how they will accommodate this.  They'll say it's a blip, and then they'll throw in the oceans again.  :)

You and I can huddle in the barrel sauna all summer, and watch the Arctic ice volume.


Thursday, May 4, 2017

Toronto Real Estate Rollercoaster


When the kids were little I was forced to go on a lot of rollercoasters.  blah.  There's always the part where they go up, and the rails go tickety, tickety.  It's being on the top that starts the whip snapping.  So the Toronto Housing market has done its clickety, clickety, and is going over the top.  Note that listings are zooming, and I can see this with signs around the woods.

I was soooooooodepressed but then today, I got some stuff, like real stuff, man.   And I feel sssoo good.  Wow, I hear birdies!

ps.  wow, that was a short buzz!  Just note that the recent rise in listings is the biggest zoom-up between dots on the whole chart.  I would say then, that the listing panic has begun and next month's zoom-up will be big as well.

Saturday, April 29, 2017

Giving up the blog again

My giant burst of writing is over once more.  Although I am a hopeless blog-writing addict, I'm going to blog-rehab again.  My apologies to the 3 people that read me, but one day I'll be totally off the writing.  If I get too manic, the writing doesn't do me any good.


Friday, April 28, 2017

Chapman Valley - last tree frogs in Toronto

Or maybe not.  I'm sure someone could drag out a tree frog somewhere.  For a while, we had this tree frog at the cottage.  You were always finding it underfoot somewhere.  Then we would carefully place him in a tree, and the next day he'd be back again.  Was extremely loud when he went full blast.  In this valley you hear them all around, but you can never get close.  Sort of like the end of the rainbow.  


My current cause for the week is this valley, which will be destroyed soon, or maybe not.

This was our cottage frog.


Thursday, April 27, 2017

Amazon Slash and Burn in Toronto Part 2

This is a citizen news report.  As Google will soon suck all news outlets dry, this is the only thing you will get from now on.  This is protected by 'fair use' and 'freedom of the press'.  Should powerful people push libel chill and all that crap, then we can truly say we don't have a free press any more.  Actually, we never did, those guys had to be paid!  I am not getting paid for this, and I am not advancing a social cause.  This is merely a factual report, with a bit of poetic license, to make it interesting.  :)  I'm using my best 'sad BBC' voice and extrapolating.



If you are a sensitive soul, then believe all the talking heads that everything will be okay.  It will extend your life.

Amazon Slash and Burn in Toronto Part 1

This is citizen news.  Soon, that will be all you can get.  If this issue got popular, then the PR talking heads would deny everything.  Right now they get respectability by being framed in desperate news, or news outlets desperate for money.  Maybe, when they are all by themselves, people might see the truth -- that there has never been a talking head telling the truth, ever.

For 25 years, I have never done much to reveal the Chapman Valley.  It has become a nature paradise by neglect.  Now that is over.  Like the Amazon, a road has been hacked through it, and attention given by greedy property owners who can realize instant millions.  This is a story of Toronto slash and burn.


I still have to work on my video.  I'll do that when the rain starts.  I'm dividing the series up so to make it less popular.  :)

-- to be continued

Trumpalistic War on Canada Dead

Reference




Whew!  The man who governs by executive order has reached the end of his rope.  He can't get anything done, and his attempt to cast Canada as the Evil Empire has failed.  He's got the government totally seized and couldn't pass a fart in the wind.  We can now forget our neighbour, since they won't do anything for the next term.


Wednesday, April 26, 2017

Soon, no facts will be checked

Reference

Everything I say is from my own experience.  I don't check my own facts.  I do throw in some news clippings but soon they won't be around.  It's an interesting world we are entering.  Even established news sources aren't really checking many facts.  They just like to go with official talking heads who are parroting whatever the organization tells them.

News media still exist because they have exclusive access to talking heads.  See if you or I could talk to one of these Big Bananas.  And who believes them?  I think that all news media will soon be like those 'press release' outfits, and the talking heads will pay them to release their garbage.  We could elect a lot of trumpies in that environment.  I'm sure twitty is getting paid by trumpy.  :)

Mr. Googs is going to have trouble in this situation.  He gets his money from stealing facts everywhere.  What if there are no more facts?  What if I'm reduced to merely ranting that everybody is lying?  Is that interesting?

All my earthquake data will have to come from universities who have to maintain some sort of credibility, even though their PR departments are big payers of PR places, and countless phoney 'science' sites repeat it.  Government and these guys are still good for earthquake locations, and totally wrong on magnitudes.

So, tomorrow all the newspapers, tv news, and original news sources go out of business.  What can Mr. G do?  Give up his business?  No, he should expand 'citizen news'.  Ammyzon gives me stuff to review things, G should give me stuff.  Wait!  Is this just another attempt to get stuff?  Maybe.

Future Flash

I am a retired guy.  G. gives me $2 to go get some news.  The Toronto mayor is so desperate to make news that he talks to me and I put it on heweytube.  On to the next two bucks!


Tuesday, April 25, 2017

Toronto housing market is one big Ponzi scheme

Reference

Still a couple months to go before we can officially call it a crash.  That timing is totally dependent on desperate sellers, and how long they can hold out.  Still no listings in the neighbourhood.

But this stuff is coming out.  Toronto was such a hot market for the Chinese before Nov 8, that would do anything to get in.  Then trumpy attacked and, as well, the hot money tap was turned off in China.  These scams are coming out because in any Ponzi scheme you depend on money coming in to pay off the 'investors'.  Once that stops, the scheme collapses.  They mention $1B, it's probably more.

For the market, in general, there is the 'Greater Fool Belief'.  It's sometimes called 'theory', but let's not tarnish the Scientific Method here.  :)  It's the belief that you can pay any price for anything as long as you think there are bigger fools out there.  That was the frenzy BT (before trumps).

Anyway, go back to sleep until June.  You can't really tell anything before then because you have no idea how many people are holding multiple housing units.  It was the standard way to make money in the outer house zone, so I suspect it is a lot.

US starts it's attack on Canada

Reference


Every populist, reading from the Big Book of Nastyism, requires a fake enemy to distract from the fact he isn't doing anything.  Trumpies started with the Chinese but found they were required for North Korea.  He has settled on Canada.

But we'll get our revenge.  He has got the Oklahoma earthquake zone really popping with increased fracking.  Won't be long now before the earthquakes stop all US fracking.  Then they'll pay through the nose for Canadian oil.  :)

Next, we'll expect an attack on maple syrup.

Sunday, April 23, 2017

Beautiful but useless Ottawa earthquake article

Reference


On the whole, I like it when a dying newspaper puts out something like this.  Newspapers live on anxiety, and something like raises the stomach acid.  Ottawa foundations vary from the very best (solid rock) to the very worst (Leda Clay).  The article left out studies that show Leda Clay amplification of 100 times in terms of PGV.


Saturday, April 22, 2017

Add years to your life

I found out that more old people are dying around me.  All are over-weight pear-shaped old men (and ladies).  My final product cures that.  :)

This is the fitness bracelet that will take you permanently to a svelte body.  Enjoy playing with your grandchildren, if the kids ever get off Tinder and do something.  I have chosen the brand new Fitbit Alta rose-gold, because it is so beautiful and expensive that you wouldn't dare let it down.  If you are working at the computer all day, it constantly nags you to get up every hour and do 250 steps.  It has virtual hikes at Yosemite or New York City.  You can issue challenges to your friends and you can't lose because you have Rosey Goldy.



Honestly this is the last one because my wife loves it so much.

Friday, April 21, 2017

More essential stuff

My mercenary streak continues.  The last one was so successful, that I got 2 clicks and one order.  That will probably give me $2.  I will continue in the tone of the famous hammer-schlammer catalogue.

******
This is the light you always wanted.  Good for those miserable storage spaces under the stairs and such where you have to go in by flashlight, and never find anything you want.  Charges with a standard usb and only turns on with movement.  The battery is good for months.  Comes off with a magnetic strip for charging.


********
This is the bum cream that turns out to be the best hand lotion you'll ever use.  Physics dictates that nothing penetrates our layer of dead skin, or the oxygen would kill us.  So all those super-expensive moisturizers do is put on a layer of oil to slow down the moisture leaving the skin.  This stuff does it better with an exotic polymer.  It is dry, and it provides an extra layer against stuff which dissolves the dead skin layer.  My wife loves it for the hands and keeps stealing the tube.  It is also the best stuff for an embarrassing anal rash which some people I know may or may not have.

Darn!  It's all sold out from Prime where it sells for $7, and all the sleazies have it for $30.  I won't list it.

Found it.



********

This is the solar light you've been waiting for.  It has a chance to last a while.  Uses lithium batteries, and it has the latest COB (chips on board) led panels which are super bright.  Brag to your friends.  Soon all led lights will be like this, it has something like 3 times the lumens per watt of the other stuff.



Can't think of anything more.

Thursday, April 20, 2017

Like White Sheets in the Sun

Once in a while, I'll push a good product (Shades of Gweneth!).  The last was my coffee roaster, which I'm still using all the time, and makes you healthy.  This time it is an air filter, which uses uv-c on titanium dioxide.  t-ox is just white paint, or whitening in sheets.  It's used everywhere.  When sunlight hits it, there is a marvelous reaction.  It might be the reason that fresh air is so anti-bacterial.  This is much better than the old 'negative ion' crap which always gave off enough ozone to kill you.





My old air filter gave up after 10 years, so I just recently bought this.  For now, I'm going with all the official replacements, rather than make my own, because they last a long time and are reasonably priced. You really, really need it come air conditioning time.  Air conditioned air is so dead you can feel it.

Here's the coffee roaster, only 2 left from Amazon at a reasonable price.  I got the 3 year Amazon warranty with it.



Get this, use a light-medium roast with Guatemala beans and you'll live forever.  :)  If only my doctor had done this.  :(




Trazodone in the News

Reference

Traz is an anti-depressant, and this news makes me happy.  For the last couple of centuries, the only cure for Hereditary Intellectual Depression was a bullet to the head, or lots of alcohol, which was the same thing.  :)  Now we have great drugs, and one that I'm taking is traz.  Yeah, I won't get Alzies!  Have to tell my shrink tomorrow.

I hoped they would try CBD and THC.  These have good potential to be a brain wonder drug.  But the researchers aren't based in Canada, so it might not be politically correct.  :)

Wednesday, April 19, 2017

Over-Steering the Toronto Housing Market

Reference

Yeah, this will one of the definitive moments for the hind-sight of the Toronto housing market.  All the foreign money left in November with the trumpy bond route.  This is icing on the cake.  Next thing you know, they'll go after the numbered Ontario company giant money laundry.

Everybody told them to wait and see if there was a classical Spring market.  There wasn't.  Almost no new listings in the neighbourhood.  That would tell somebody there is something seriously wrong.

Anyway,we have to wait for our horribly slow numbers from the sleazy real-estate people.  The depth of the crash really depends on how strung out everybody is.  I was predicting that in June the listings would zoom up and the prices crash.  Now, with all this over-steering, we'll see no listings and prices crashing,  I don't know what that will mean, but I think people can only hold on for another month or so.

ps.  It's official now.  The Chinese will walk away from their condo deposits.  Expect blood on the streets.

Saturday, April 15, 2017

Oklahoma - no injection, no earthquakes

One big question is that, if they finally become scared with an 6.5, will the earthquakes stop on a dime?  This Easter weekend shows that there is hope.  No injection on Good Friday, something which I am sure about in OK.  :)  And the earthquakes stop.  I don't know when they'll start again, maybe Monday, which will give everybody a nice weekend.


ps.  it has started again on Sunday.

pps.  Since by Wed. it hasn't really popped up again, I'll just call it a random quiet phase.  bah.

Thursday, April 13, 2017

Alex Asmis, dead at 21


Humanity's luck is such that whenever we enter the doom and gloom of imminent destruction, an angel is sent to save us.  This has been throughout history, and without those angels, we wouldn't be writing this.  With whatever makes you feel better, you can believe that this is dumb luck by definition, or some power is looking over us.

Angels, by my definition, are not with us long.  They live such a large life, and affect so many people that things happen to take them away from us.  As his only great-uncle, I can add some perspective.  Alex had a fatal flaw in his personality, and it could be said that he could not have been an angel without it.  He had to seek greater and greater thrills.

As he went down the local suicide run, he had to be "The King".  Had he successfully negotiated the boulders this time, he would have done it again, perhaps a little faster.  He was not one to be deterred by a close call.  In the end, the miracle was that all his companions walked away from it.  From what I saw at the funeral, all the thrill-seeking may have been knocked out of all the students at Algonquin College.  If so, he has saved many lives.

In this new age of gloom, such as Trump leading us into World War 3, or baking by global warming, it is good to have faith to stop yourself from sinking into depression.  We are saved from the former by corruption, and the latter by physics.   And also angels.

Alex, you came, you saw, you conquered.  And by doing so, you have saved us all.

Harold Asmis

Tuesday, April 11, 2017

Massive Petropoints Hack

You recall that all my Petropoints got sucked out of my account.  They relayed to 'hasmis@proton.com' in Malaysia and then got a $25 Bay web gift certificate.

I thought they hacked somewhere and got my low-level default password.  But no, further snooping by this reporter reveals that there has been a 'main system' hack.  Apparently, very suspicious people have been walking around trying to redeem points at the local places.  They just have a display on their phones and have something like 3 million points.

Petrocanada wants this to be a big secret, so there is no panic.  The guy beside me said he had 250,000 points.  To be fair, I am assuming that everybody is vulnerable, but maybe pigs can fly, and it's only a few people.  Certainly, the support people act like they never heard of it.

The criminals walking around will have a tough time trying to redeem millions of points on potato chips.  Watch out for them, they are desperate!  :)  And check your points.

OMG!  I don't think they offer enough money to hire service people.  blah...

wow, they can't clear my email from the system, corrupted database probably, couldn't happen to more competent people.  /\   (the mountain of sarcasm)

Garden and Fruit Tree Spraying 2017

My supply of the 'good stuff' has now been cut off.  I was using Amazon but Customs has cracked down, and nothing is available.

It's not a great loss.  My spraying on the apples last year was a complete disaster.  I was spraying often with the good stuff and it was no good.  All the apples were destroyed by worms.  It's because nobody can spray any more, and the pests are thick.  So, I am going back to my own organic mix and spraying often.  I'll see if this has a chance.

FishOrganic (chemical) Spray

In half a small spray tank (4 litres) throw in 2 bloops (tablespoon) of Neem Oil, 2 bloops of Tea Tree Oil, 2 bloops of Home Defense spray, and a dab of dish soap. Shake well.

Neem oil is a fungicide, as well as Tea Oil.  Home Defense is pyrethins and you need the soap to mix it all.

It all smells so wonderful.  Right now we have those red bugs everywhere, and this kills them  Spray once a week, or after a heavy rain.  Should make the bugs have a tummy ache.  :)

Monday, April 10, 2017

Someone with brains is slowly putting in accelerometers in Oklahoma and Kansas

The latest Medford m4.1 had a lot of recordings.  This is the latest one.



This reads 3 cm/s PGV with an Intensity of 4.  I was quite impressed with all the instruments surrounding this earthquake.  If they have a notion to do it, they can now determine directivity, and correlate Intensity with PGV.  They won't though.

I would now like Mr. Mysterious to instrument buildings in Tulsa and OK City.  We must show that all existing engineering assumptions are wrong.  :)


The fun of sewer work

For a long time, I was tracking this project.  They hit quicksand, and counted on pumping to clog up the pores.  Six months later, they have finally reached the sewer.


Their idea is to open the sewer and jack out the old liner with a new one.  But now it appears that the main structure of the old sewer (bricks) is collapsing and jamming the old lining.  They'll never be able to jack in a new one, and they have all those lovely liner pieces hanging around.  The active sewer is now totally open and I died when I walked into the slip stream.  I can imagine bicycle guys zooming along and falling over.  I thought they'd put a tent on and filter through tree roots.  Silly me.  :)  Not going down there now.

Saturday, April 8, 2017

Russians Hack Google



It's a slow news day in Canada, so it is easy to slip in something that is totally fake.  And Google has no means to flag fake news.



I just did 2 screen grabs in case the stuff all disappears in a minute.  This reads so fake, that trumpy himself could have written it.  It's from a place that nobody heard of, and a very impressive web page.

We should thank his trumpiness that he's got poutine pulling out all the stops of his command over the Internet.  Put in a couple of billion dollars, and you've got something.

It still seems to be up.

To sum:  Poutine is a nice guy who destroyed all assady's chemical toys.  Nevermind all the other incidents.  They were all misunderstandings.  They informed everybody by registered mail that they were going to bomb a weapons bunker.  Pouty was shocked, shocked to find it was full of chemical weapons and the smoke got in their eyes.

ps.  This all gone now.  Not a trace.  It never happened.

pps.  Make a copy of this now, before it also goes poof.

ppps.  I'm getting paranoid.  My next headline, which will never appear.  will be "Google and Russia Attack the Fish".  Bye everybody.

epilogue - I'm still alive!  This has blown over.  Mr. Gootin has gone on to other things.

Petropoints account hacked

My email was changed to some Russian account.  But they notified my normal email account.  Petropoints are absolutely terrible at fixing this.  I had to phone and got cut off, with no hope of getting back.  This was one of my many accounts with my default password which is somewhat guessable, with a lot of effort, or an even older account was hacked.

In the past months I have changed all my accounts to something random from a local Java random password generator, and used Google Smart Lock.  I recommend this to everyone.  However, there are still accounts floating around that I hardly ever use.  It would suck to lose all my petro-money, probably about $30.

You must assume that lost accounts have been hacked because nobody defends them any more.  Change your passwords!

ps.  they changed my email to 'proton.com'.  I suppose they have to go through an effort to get my points.  I informed the owner of that service in Malaysia to remove the offending account (they are probably majorly hacked).  I don't expect a good response.  :)

pps.  confirmed that they took out $25 by using The Bay.  Wow, they used a number of companies.

Friday, April 7, 2017

Kansas tries the Arkansas trick


This is the first new injection zone in a year or two.  First we had Ohio, and they stopped at m4.  Then we had Arkansas.  Stopped at m4.  Then Texas tried injection freshwater frack waste at a few spots.  Stopped at m4.  Now Kansas is trying it.

Not a word on the news about what they are doing here.  They've gone from m2's to an m4 in record time, perhaps one of the fastest ramp-ups yet.  They should hit an m5 soon, maybe even skip right to an m6.  This is so exciting!

ps.  the expected result will be the same as Azle, Tx.  The earthquakes will get bigger and bigger.  The people will complain more and more, and suddenly the earthquakes stop.  They now enter the Texas Conspiracy.  I hope that this time Kansas will be a bit more honest, and someone will whistle.

pps.  This is an extreme close-up of the new injection site.

Note the weird straight E-W line due to location rounding.  In reality, the line is probably extending from the well on the highway down to the SE, just like Azle Texas.  The line will get longer and the earthquakes will get bigger.  This transverse fault joins the megathrust.

Thursday, April 6, 2017

Tragedy for the Family

Reference

Algonquin College student Alex Asmis, 21, dies after rollover


Very sad, he was a grand-nephew.  But it is the way for young people in this modern world.  Everybody has done something like this in their youth.  1000 survive, one doesn't.

Italian Cruise Ship for Sale


Slightly damaged.  Does not do well with an Italian crew.  Giant bandaid on one side.  Available only for the price of a Toronto house.

http://www.yachtworld.com/boats/1997/Cruise-Ship%2C-2417-Passengers--3024096/Italy#.WOZKuHXyuV7


Toronto Housing Listings Still Scrape the Bottom


New figures show that listings are making a feeble rise.  The headline-grabbing average price is meaningless in a thin market.  We had one house sell in the neighbourhood.  It sold right away, and probably for a very high price.

It's a diseased market that can show such high prices and no listings.  If it follows the formula to death, then listings will surge in June because everybody has two houses and they become desperate.  The patient will recover if there is enough money in the market to take these listings.

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Linux - Raspberry pi 3 twice as fast as zero

I always assumed that the raspi's were fast enough to take anything I threw at them.  Wrong!  The p3 can sample 2 accelerometers at 30 samp/sec, and the zero at about 15.  That's probably enough for a velocity seismometer running below 10 Hz.  All the damage comes at 1 to 2 Hz anyway.  So, I envision a bunch of zeros running these.  I have to wait until I can actually buy them.  I've used up my 'one to a customer'.  They still make them in fairlyland Wales, but they use robots.  Speed it up, boys!

Monday, April 3, 2017

El Nino is well and truly dead


Whew!  I wait every month for this chart, and the Toronto real estate figures.  Both are interesting, but this one shows the background microwave chatter for satellites.  It's related to how much heat energy is being thrown out by the Earth, which is a sort of dim infra-red light bulb.

El Nino events make the light bulb go brighter for a while.  That's because a lot of warm water is pushed to the poles.  Just ask Chile!  Then it settles, and we should get colder because all our heat went up the chimney.

Supporting this chart is the fact that all our major northern ocean currents are coming back to full strength.  This El Nino event was huge and did a number on them.  We in Toronto had our driest year, maybe on record.  That's been keeping up some slopes I expected to come down by now.  We're starting to get our big rains now.


Sunday, April 2, 2017

Letter to the Toronto Police

Dear Police,  a few days ago, a big contract-er, whom everybody thought was a contractor, was hit by a contractee, with a single bullet to the head.  That was just around the corner.

You went around the whole neighbourhood asking if anybody had any video.  I am now proposing that you give me an annual grant to run video from the house.  This would be a nifty 'starlight' video on a two day rotating file.  We are getting fiber to the home, and this would be a great use for it, if you want the video directly.

It would be only looked at if there is another contract.  We are full of contracters in big monster houses, and I'm sure there is a potential for more of this.  Maybe again in 20 years.

Now, I'm terrible in dealing with stupid people, who have all the money, so just give me the money and I'll figure things out.  Maybe you actually have a smart person, or maybe you don't, but you can trust me.  :)  I've got a horrible case of never-finishing-things-itis, but I'll make an exception.

Trump inciting violence

Reference



I'm limiting myself to a tiny fraction of my morbid attraction to trumpy news.  Everybody in Canada has this disease right now.  In fact, for the last few days we've been dying because of the lack something truly outrageous.  Or, as addicts, we crave ever greater hits.

So, I dug this up.  This is all about tone and situation.  Did Trump really say "Ok, Klan people, beat the shit out of them and drag their dead bodies out of here."  Or, the defense version of "Please kindly suggest another location for their protest."  I think he can plead insanity.  :)

GET 'EM OUT OF HERE!

ps.  Please note that I am no longer obscuring his name to avoid search engines, since I am no longer afraid of him.  :)  I've done my States trip for the year.

Friday, March 31, 2017

Oklahoma out of the woods

Reference




Whew!  I'm totally wrong!  I wondering when the USGS would come out with something, under the threat of a massive trumpy attack.  All clear in Oklahoma!  The seismic rate isn't going exponentially up.  It's going down.  I think it's safe to build giant brick buildings again.  I'll never mention this place again.

ps. In celebration of this announcement, the OK earthquakes have completely stopped dead.  Not a tingle.

Wednesday, March 29, 2017

A Magnitude 7 in King Trumpy's Court

Now that Oklahoma is starting to fire up at rate which will give us M7's by the end of the year, we must discuss what this really means.

Damage on the ground from earthquakes is directly related to peak ground velocity (PGV).  All engineers say it is peak ground acceleration (PGA), but that's only for deep California soil basins.  The pgv is directly related to the applied shear stress at the base of building.  Some of you might know the MM intensity rating, and a doubling of pgv goes up one intensity unit.

The neat thing about earthquakes is that the seismic energy released goes up about 30 times with each magnitude notch.  A 5 is nothing like a 6, and a 6 is nothing like a 7.  OK has 6's going off and they only destroy one town.  A 7 can destroy the whole state.  Yet the 'distance' between magnitudes is all the same, for example 10 5's for a 6, and 10 6's for a 7.

We have the fine example of the New Madrid earthquake sequence, and OK follows the same mechanism.  The pgv on soft soil will be 100 cm/s.  Nothing built in the central US can stand with that, no bridges, hospitals, etc.  No power transformers.  The entire Mid-west will be a ghost town, but with no buildings standing.

If we are lucky, we won't go directly to m7's but have an m6.5 instead which will scare everybody with only a few people killed.  This should be about 50 cm/s on the velometer.  However, even with the injection stopped, it is on the verge of a 7.

Why the huge exponential increase in seismic rate?  It's simple physics.  Texas has shown you can inject all the deep oil water you want, but add a truckload of freshwater frack waste, and you get Azle.  They stopped that and hushed everything up.  Then they sent all stuff to OK.  But OK was 95% deep water, and 5% fresh.  Cutting down the injection volumes has tipped that the other way, because people pay a lot more to get rid of the nasty stuff.

This increase in seismic rate is just coming from the big Texas Permian play.  Soon the northern frack waste will come.  OK injection will become 95% fresh water.  Cut the volumes all you want, and nothing happens.

The amazing thing is that this has merged into one mechanism, and the strain field now includes New Madrid. If you live far away, as I do, you can look on it with scientific detachment.

Trumpyland Earthquakes starting to go nuts now



Since this is a deep normal earthquake, it may be a 5, but no seismometers called it that.  Only Intensity 4, so my velometer would have recorded 1 cm/s.  However, it was very widely felt, again close to an m5 felt area.

Getting these twice a week has brought up the seismic energy rate a notch.  The m7 is looking closer.  The last m5 did not bring out any inane comments, maybe this one will.

Addition - Velometer reading 5 cm/s means chimney down, 10 cm/s - old downtown down, 20 cm/s drywall repair, 50 cm/s walk away from house.  The m7 will read 100 - 200 cm/s, things thrown in the air.

Tuesday, March 28, 2017

The 'mazing new Velometer

I've done it!  I have invented the 'mazing velometer.  The first ever to use a Raspberry Pi Zero W, to sum up two accelerometers, and produce velocities on the fly.


This is serious instrumentation for under $20.  Similar equipment costs thousands.  I'll make a zillion dollars!

Smart people will want to put these all over their buildings so that the next time there is an earthquake, they'll know right away whether it is safe.

What's this you say?  That my 'mazing invention will gather dust alongside the perpetual motion machine, and the car that runs on water?  That there are powerful interests who will squash this because they live on shake machines and peak acceleration?  That they love to party when there is an earthquake, putting red tags on buildings that don't need them, and green tags on those that do?  That there are no smart people in the earthquake biz?

Oh well, perhaps it is best that I retire, and just snipe on the sidelines.  There will soon be a big party in the US midwest without a speck of instrumentation, and lots of people want it that way.




Sunday, March 26, 2017

Trumpy Oklahoma earthquake season really starts



An 'official' m4 that I'm calling an m5 because of severe directivity.  That is, the seismometers in the direction of the strike-slip pulse recorded it as a 5.  I'm always going with this higher number because that is what will count when there are big ones.  For example, an m6 can take down buildings that are in the pulse zone, whereas something much bigger is required to take down buildings out of the pulse.  A pulse is easily a factor of 2 or 4 with the PGV.


At this new rate, we should be getting an m5 once a week.  That means at least two to three m6's for the season.  An m7 might still take another season or two.  It will hilarious to see trumpy and wife coming to the scene of devastation and looking sympathetic.  He'll say "I'm the president, and you're not."  :)

ps.  I am expecting a big increase with the seismic energy rate due to the big Texas play.  Normally, just the NE gas frack waste has been coming in.  Although OK has been limiting injection volumes, they are merely pricing out the local sludge, and injecting more high-grade.

Friday, March 24, 2017

Freedom of Speech in Quebec

Reference

I just have to give this guy some support, since it is Canadian politics, and not trumpyism, which is what everybody, on the dog walk, talks about.

This is nothing new.  Every time some physicist says "There's no physics in global warming.", some gorey type wants him fired.  So, when this professor bites the nanny-state hand that feeds him at McGill, he has to resign.

I'm not going on and on about Quebec.  They can do any silly thing they want as long as they threaten the feds, to squeeze money out of them.  I'm just saying that there is an economic effect of political suppression.  Soon, bright people won't want to say anything, and then they just want to leave.  Even fed money can't stop the decline.  I know that if the nutters in Quebec actually read English, then I wouldn't say that I agree with this guy 100%.  It the same thing, that the warming nutters never read anything to do with physics, so I can rant all I want to.  :)


Thursday, March 23, 2017

Linux - fun with the Raspberry Pi Zero W - setup

You need to buy a starter kit from Canatech, or whatever.  The kit has the good charger, a micro to regular usb converter, and a micro to regular hdmi adapter.  They also include a micro sd card with the operating system right on it.  I borked that right away, and loaded a new raspberrian system.

The raspi foundation is desperate for money, and loads a huge amount of bloatware on the system.  Good for an r3 but not so good for the zero.  But you have to use the full system for the rzw, because you need to set up the wifi and that's miserable from the command line.

So, fire it up while connected to your hdmi monitor, and usb keyboard-mouse.  Works great.  Immediately attack the bloatware with their software removal tool.  Kill wolfram and real-vnc.  These are horribly complicated and screw everything up.  They pay big bucks to put this on as an introduction.

Use raspi-config to activate ssh and i2c.  Set up the wifi.  Now you can get your big computer back.  Just keep the rzw plugged in and you can ssh in.  Install tightvncserver, and xfonts-base.  Fire up vncserver, and you get a full screen.  Great!  The thing is a 'dancing bear', slow but amazing that it works!

Now I have to solder on the i2c pins.  I intend to get at least 2 accelerometers on it.  Subsequent rzw's should cost less because you just need the naked boards, and I have a million micro usb chargers.

Tuesday, March 21, 2017

Leaving the Scientific Method

Reference

Dana writes a very nice article on what happens when a pure rationalist enters the world of fanaticism.


He didn't have a chance.  That's the thing about the Scientific Method, you either stick with it or you don't.  Nothing inbetween.  You can't use it as a club to disprove nonsense, because the public can't tell the difference.  All you can say is that it is not SM and therefore outside the realm of Science.

However, there are always people such as warmists who define Science as outside the SM.  Their audience is the public, and they win an argument every time.  Stay away from these people!


Monday, March 20, 2017

Linux - The New Raspberry Pi Zero W


Yahoo!  The fact that I, a mere mortal, could buy this at a reasonable price in snowy Canada, means they have given up on the fairy people in Wales, and are getting it made in Taiwan.  Soon, we might be able to get them in bulk.

I'm still finishing up with the big raspi3, but I hope this can handle a few accelerometers and stream corrected data to a recording computer.  That would be great!  These are really meant for embedding into things, you experiment with the raspi3.

Sunday, March 19, 2017

New Madrid Earthquake 2


It'll be a good movie.  The Rock can fly all over the Big Valley and look at all the destroyed buildings.  The big joke will be that the movie will be filmed in Oklahoma which will have the earthquakes first.  After the movie comes out, then it will happen at the original location.

We've had 2 sizeable earthquakes at the tip of the old zone.  With my 'Stress Corrosion' hypothesis, the main zone is tapped out, and will never blow again.  However, there is no obstacle to paddling up the river and expand the zone.  Then you get into new stress.

The OK zone is helping things along.  The Precambrian basement is so strong that it could keep a static stress hole forever, but OK is shifting the stresses.  Thus, we can either start a new zone from scratch, or just thump a bigger earthquake with a larger stress region.

With a wild guess, I think OK can knock off some high seven's, just like the original New Madrid.  Then NM can respond with some mid-8's.  Of course, then the surrounding similar mechanisms, like Toronto can join in.  Even with all that, I still don't think anybody will pay me money.  :(


LInux - making a seismometer

I believe that my 6 accelerometers now have the sensitivity of seismometers that I have worked with.  All you really want is accuracy at some fraction of the background noise, perhaps a factor of 5.  I am pleasantly surprised at the power of a Raspberry 3.  It has handled everything I've thrown at it.

My next step will be to plot an accurate velocity graph.  For that I need to maintain a moving average before integration.  Otherwise the velocity tends to drift.  I'm going to be using the mathematics library 'numpy' for that.  Then I'm going to stream out the results to the main computer.  I hope the raspi3 can handle all that.

In the future, I'll have a bunch of raspi zeroes, each with 2 or 4 accelerometers.  There should be enough power to pre-process the accelerations to velocities.  The raw accelerations are very spiky and mostly meaningless.  Integrating to velocity brings us within the realm of physics.  Those poor engineers who stick with accelerations are sad.  :)

It is my wish that everybody sticks one of these on their buildings.  But it won't happen, because no trumpy will ever admit that nobody wiretapped the building.  :(

ps.  signal to noise is very important.  For the seismometer network, we had very expensive seismometers and had a hard time finding places where the noise was low enough.  But these seismometers had the best dynamic range for strong ground motion.  I think my new seismometers would work just as well, and if not, just add more accelerometers.  :)  This is like a factor of 1000 cheaper.

Saturday, March 18, 2017

California cripple wall upgrade

Reference


This is a typical California cripple wall upgrade.  It is for a 1906 single story house on a slab.  The crawl space was built to allow services.  Just look at that original electrical wire!  I hope it was abandoned and real electricity put in, just like my old 1900 house.  I left in the wires because they looked cute, just like gas lamp pipe.  :)


What happens with these houses is that at a certain range of PGV, the cripple wall jumps off the foundation, or suffers shearing damage.  The destroys the whole house.  With the upgrade, this house should survive up to 50 cm/s before the shear damage in the rest of the house pulls all the nails.  These houses have no shear resistance that you get with good frame sheeting.

The big goof is that this sort of upgrade is being sold to BC house owners of 2 story brick homes with a basement.  It does nothing.


Friday, March 17, 2017

Rebuilding Cushing Oklahoma

Reference


Ok, so Mr. Big takes a billion from the busgus, and tells me to make Cushing alive again.  New Orleans would be easier, but nobody voted for him there.  Cushing has the problem that it must withstand a near-field m8, multiple times.  That's 1-2 m/s on soft soil.  At those levels, cars will be flipped over, and buildings will jump up a foot off the ground, before smashing back.

This is nothing to what an ocean ship goes through, so how can we make Cushing a model town to survive earthquakes.  Think of the tourism after the 8's when everybody is on their porches, sipping coffee.  You can easily build something ugly, but how do you preserve a historic feel?

Obviously, ugly buildings like this one must be torn down.  The only thing to preserve is the bricks if they are pretty.  You build like a ship, but we will make precast panels with the bricks embedded in them.  All buildings will be stiff steel or concrete, on deep piles.  This way, all the pretty glass will stay intact.

The cute buildings will have basements, and all services come through tunnels on piles.  Every year they will have a big earthquake festival, and install fiber to the home, so they attract the Palo Alto set.  The roofing will be steel for tornados, 200 mph grade.  With trumpievouchers, the new people won't have to suffer with the local bibbly education system.  :)

The interiors will all have to be ship-shape, with everything secured.  We need carbon fiber drywall.  :)

ps.  As usual, this post was 'educational', in that it is impossible to 'upgrade' a historic city centre to take this type of ground motion.  You have to create one from scratch and that's way too expensive.  The best you can do is like Christchurch - pretend that the brick buildings that stood are good, put in 'upgrades', and fool everybody into thinking that it's good to go.

Thursday, March 16, 2017

Linux - Six accelerometers together



This uses the ltc4317 to add 4 more accelerometers.  I'm getting a Raspberry Zero W, (with wifi).  When they are finally shipped in bulk, they'll be cheaper to just hook up 2 accelerometers.  Then you can have a big array on a concrete slab.  This will be an extremely sensitive seismometer with the advantage of having a spaced array.  I like to have a huge dynamic range, and multiple uses.  When put in a bridge, you can get great diagnostics.  All those stupid 'energy absorber' buildings should have this.

There is now no excuse not to monitor every structure.  Had New Zealand done this, they could have saved billions.  A structure which does not change any response is not damaged.

In the US, the big OK earthquakes will cost endless billions, and none of the buildings will be reoccupied.  Who would trust the stupid engineers, with more earthquakes coming?  People will just leave, like nobody trusts the dykes of New Orleans.  They'll come to Toronto - Ha ha!  Where the Earthquake IQ is underwater.  :)

Wednesday, March 15, 2017

Warm weather brings Oklahoma earthquakes back

There is an almost perfect correlation between OK seismic energy and freezing temperatures.  A cold spell cuts off the earthquakes, and now, the warm turns them on again.



I was quite surprised by the large New Madrid earthquake.  Called an m3.6, it is really an m5, quite deep.  That's at the tip of the shear section, so the fault is extending.  The Oklahoma strain field is tickling the tiger's tail.  I was surprised, because I've been expecting an m5 in OK, there have been enough m4's.  Anyway, the warm weather should bring us more action.

You won't hear anything about this from anybody.  They are all terrified of Mr. Big.

Linux - getting the LTC4317 to work

The LTC4317 is an amazing chip, in that it simply translates I2C addresses so you can cram more things like accelerometers on a single i2c bus for the Raspberry Pi3, or whatever.  This was a horrible complex setup, that I got working 6 months ago, and it took me another day recently to remember what I did.  That is why I am outlining it on my blog.  There was no help available when I searched.

The chip itself is a teeny-weeny thing, meant for surface mounting, and an amateur like me can't handle it.  The specs are here.

So, you go for a breakout board.    This is a fairly new chip, so the board is expensive.  It turns out that this board was made for a particular purpose, and has everything set up for a particular address shift.





Just figuring that out nearly kills you, but it turns out to be great.  The chip has a complex means to shift addresses involving split resistors of 1% tolerance.  You could never easily get these things, but the board does it for you.  So, the first bus adds a little bit and the second adds more.  That means I can get an additional 4 adxl345's to the original 12c bus.  There are bus multiplexers, but that's more programming.

Zero documentation doesn't tell you that the enable leads have to be put high, or the output needs pullup resistors.  You get some of that from the original specs, but it's all a mess.

I got it to work, again.  There's something weird with the output pullups, they have to be between two leads.  But maybe that's superstition.


Note that en1 and en2 need to be high.  I also had a lot of trouble with the current injectors for the output scl and sda.  Whew!

I'm going with adxl345's because they work simply with smbbus, and you cannot mix bit-banging with these.  These are failed breakout boards that I got cheap.  You have to knock out r4 to get a second address.  You can get these by the bucket-load directly from China.


Friday, March 10, 2017

More Earthquake Shake Table Goodness

Reference


We've now shown that base isolation is garbage, but people still love 'soft, flexible' energy absorbers.  This all comes from shake table non-physics.  I'm not a denier of this belief, but once again I say there is no physics.

As with base isolation, the hope is that a little bit of memory metal will take up all the energy, and the bridge will be good to go.  At least I hope they instrument it.  As with New Zealand, they put so much money in this, that they cheap out on the foundation, and instrumentation.  So, although we see it fail, we don't really know why.

The failures will just have to keep piling up until we can laugh at the engineers.  However, that will be a heck of a pile if they don't instrument anything.

**note** for future generations.  Seismic engineers scale everything by peak acceleration, and that's how they run their shake tables.  PGA doesn't vary from site to site, rock to soil.  A 0.3 g earthquake is that everywhere.  So if they can make a structure that goes from 0.3 g to 0.6 g, it's a great thing.  Unfortunately, this has no physics.  Damage scales with imposed shear strain, which is indicated by peak ground velocity, PGV.  And that varies by a factor 10 to 100, site to site, earthquake to earthquake of the same magnitude.  All this fancy stuff only gives you a factor of 2 in PGV, and that's buried in the noise, totally worthless.

Trudeau gets Oklahoma earthquakes all excited

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All the Texas excitement has got the OK earthquakes going at a last summer's high rate of 1 m4 per day.  This is fan-bloody-tastic for earthquake watchers.  Normally we have never got this rate until April or May, when the natgas frack water comes in.  I assume that barrels of Texas water are coming, since they know to never inject that stuff in Texas (remember Azle?).  Any investment in oil sands will return a factor of 10 in a year or two when the m8's come a-calling.

The m5's seem a bit tardy, give it another week or two.

Wednesday, March 8, 2017

Toronto Housing starting the bust

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Reading this article you'd think that the Toronto housing bubble still has legs, but all the hot money has been sucked out of the system.  There are a few 'desperate' people going after very few listings, so it looks really good.  But the question to ask is why are there no listings, when people could get 20% more than a month ago?

It's a vicious circle.  In the past year or two all the frenzy has been driven by upgrading, with hot money being the blower on the forge.  If you want to upgrade now, you'd have to crazy outbid others and then assume you could sell your house for a huge amount over asking.  You'd need financing for this, the formal calculated spread is huge, and perhaps you wouldn't qualify.  So people are sitting tight.

Speculators are seeing the price rise and holding onto their empty houses and condos.  This is a time of great uncertainty, and it doesn't help that people like me are calling 'crash'.  (as if anybody reads me)

Anyway, it always like this before a crash.  Everything goes into paralysis for 6 months.  Then it is dependent on 'desperate sellers'.  Obviously, if you are strung out with a new house waiting, it is time to sell and then rent for a while, or take a long closing.  Obviously, you won't do this, because the prices are zooming and you wish to wait to the last minute.  Read the article and you'll be comforted, since there is nothing about a crash in it.  It is just assumed all the foreign buyers went to Toronto because of a 15% tax when they were all looking at doubling their money.  That is an assumption with no physics (or hard data), and we all know how people really like that stuff.  :)  It's more likely that they all fled Canada.